13bitcoinM

Technical Update - Bitcoin to 100,000 ? Coinbase higher but mining companies under pressure

Equities 4 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  Bitcoin to USD 90,000-100,000? If taking out its previous all-time high there are indicators pointing to those levels
Ethereum taken out key resistance could reach its previous all-time high just below 5,000
Coinbase share price is benefitting from the surge in Bitcoin and could move higher
Despite the surge in Bitcoin prices, Bitcoin mining companies have not experienced significant benefits: Marathon, Riot and Cleanspark


Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently testing the all-time high around USD 69,000 but has faced rejection. A daily close above this level could trigger another buying spree, potentially propelling BTC towards the 1.382 projection at around USD 100,000.

While a short-term correction is possible, the absence of RSI divergence on both daily and weekly charts suggests that Bitcoin is likely to ascend to higher levels in the coming weeks and months.

A close below USD 50,000 would demolish this picture
btc w 0503
Source all charts and data: Saxo Group

Another analytical tool; Linton Price Target, utilising Point & Figure charting and Fibonacci analysis, suggests even higher Bitcoin levels.
Developed by David Linton at Updata Analytics, this tool points to elevated price targets.

As illustrated in the chart below, Bitcoin has already met previous price targets, with a new target now activated at 90,353.

Whether this target will be attained remains uncertain.
Please note: This is NOT a recommendation to buy Bitcoin, and achieving this price target is not guaranteed.
Additionally, this analysis does not address potential corrections; it solely provides a potential price target
btc updata 0503
Source: Upata Analytics

Ethereum ETHUSD has broken above resistance at around 3,525 and looks destined to move higher to its all-time high at around 4,870. A short-term correction should be expected, however.

RSI is indicating overbought but with no divergence on both daily and weekly charts are drawing a picture of ETHUSD moving higher after a likely correction
The magnitude of a correction is not easy to quantify until a top and reversal pattern is in place 
eth w 0503

Coinbase (COIN): In a previous Technical Update on Coinbase, a Cup with Handle pattern was identified. Technical analysis Bitcoin Ethereum coinbase Marathon Riot Cleanspark
Coinbase has reached 50% of the distance from the rim of the Cup (193.64) at 233.20 and nearly the full length of the Fibonacci Extension at 239.79.

Further upside potential is suggested by the RSI indicator, with a potential target of 272.77, representing the full distance from the bottom of the Cup to the Rim.

On the weekly chart, Coinbase has reached the 1.618 projection at 242.43, which aligns closely with resistance at around 231.77.
A close above this level could lead to further gains, potentially targeting the next resistance around 282.

Conversely, a close below 193.64 would negate the bullish outlook, while a close below 180.60 would signal a trend reversal
coin d 0503
coin w 0503

Bitcoin Mining Companies: Despite the surge in Bitcoin prices,  Bitcoin mining companies have not experienced significant benefits. This could be attributed to the increasing expenses associated with Bitcoin mining, potentially impacting profitability.

Marathon Digital (MARA) has struggled to maintain upside momentum, failing to close above resistance at around 31.07.
Confirmation of a bullish trend would require a close above this level, with potential targets around the 40 level.

Conversely, a close below 22.67 would negate the bullish scenario
mara d 0503

Riot Platforms (RIOT) has failed to establish and confirm a bullish trend, resulting in a bearish outlook in the short term.
Support is at around 13.00, with a daily close below potentially intensifying selling pressure.

Confirmation of this scenario would occur if the RSI closes below the 40 threshold.

To establish a bullish trend, a close above 18.75 is necessary
riot d 0503

Cleanspark (CLSK) experienced a surge, reaching the 2.00 projection of the February correction at 23.46, only to face a significant pullback.

A daily close below 15.00 could see CLSK testing the GAP area between 13.02-10.50, with potential further decline below 13.

RSI indicates positive sentiment but also divergence, suggesting a probable move lower. Restoration of the bullish scenario would require a close back above 19.25
clsk d 0503
Author is holding a position in Marathin Digital

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.