Crypto Update: ETH mining at the edge

Crypto Update: ETH mining at the edge

Cryptocurrencies 7 minutes to read
Picture of Jacob Pouncy
Jacob Pouncey

Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  ETH mining profitability heads to zero; central banks discuss digital currencies; Bitcoin Cash is facing a hard fork.


This week the entire crypto market cap fell by 6 % to around $200 billion. Additionally, Ethereum fell 8% after briefly touching $220. Bitcoin fell less than the market with a decline of 4 %.

No profits in mining ETH

According to a recent Susquehanna research report, the profitability of Ethereum mining using graphics cards produced by chipmakers such as AMD and Nvidia has reached null. Profitability has been on the decline since the beginning of this year. Also, the network hash rate has been decreasing since August of this year, demonstrating that more miners are leaving the network than joining. Profitability combined with the decline in hash rate could indicate the approach of capitulation for the Ethereum market. Additionally, the decline in profitability could mean that the downtrend in revenue from selling graphics cards to cryptocurrency miners is approaching a bottom for chip manufacturers going forward.

Central banks mull issuing digital currencies

Central banks are increasingly exploring the implications of issuing a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, that would have certain characteristics of cryptocurrencies combined with the centrally-planned characteristics of fiat money. The Swedish Riksbank released a report detailing the implications of creating an e-krona, considering the total cash in circulation is dropping below 1% of GDP. Additionally, the Bank of Korea and the Bank of Israel have released reports, with the former more open to issuing a CDBC than the latter. Despite the range of opinions from central banks, one thing that all of them agree on is that a CBDC will have far-reaching implications for the banking sector that no one fully understands yet. 

Bitcoin cash fork

There is an upcoming hard fork or network split on the Bitcoin Cash blockchain, which itself is a hard fork of the main Bitcoin blockchain. This split is particularly interesting because on one side there are nodes, which are computers that run the software, making it more robust against outages. On the other side there are miners, who make the network more secure against attacks.

Once the network splits, the market will have the first real-world test on whether it is nodes or miners that give the most value to a network. Currently in pre-market trading, investors are valuing the network split with the most nodes (users) at a 30% premium. All eyes are watching as the fork is scheduled to take place tomorrow, November 15. 
XBTUSD
Source: Coinmarketcap.com

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900
Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.