Macro Brief: Always listen to Kashkari
Head of Macro Analysis
Summary: Today's economic calendar contains updates on US jobs and manufacturing but the key item on the agenda is a speech by one of the Fed's most talented economists.
In addition, the ISM non-manufacturing index for March should move a bit lower, at 58.0 vs prior 59.7 due to mixed regional service sector surveys. Overall, it is still well into expansion phase, thus a very positive economic development.
Elsewhere, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari is due to speak about economic activity and monetary policy in North Dakota. He is a Federal Open Market Committee non-voter but certainly one of the most talented economists at the Fed. It is always worthwhile to spend a bit of time listening to his input. Remember that he was one of the first mainstream economists to call on the Fed to pause. He may give us important insights about what’s next and the risk linked to the recent inversion of the US yield curve.
Today’s Calendar (All Times GMT)
12:15 USA, ADP employment report
12:30 USA, Bostic’s speech
14:00 USA, ISM manufacturing
21:00 USA, Kashkari’s speech