Quick Take Asia

Asia Market Quick Take – September 8, 2025

Macro 6 minutes to read
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Key points:

  • Macro: NFP added only 22k jobs in Aug vs 75k est, unemployment rose to 4.3%
  • Equities: S&P 500 reversed gains after NFP, down 0.3%; Lululemon -18% after earnings
  • FX: Yen fell on PM Ishiba’s resignation announcement
  • Commodities: OPEC+ raises oil output by 137,000 bpd in October as expected.
  • Fixed income: US Treasuries rallied on a weak August payrolls miss

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Disclaimer: Past performance does not indicate future performance.

  

Macro:

  • US non-farm payrolls showed the economy added just 22k jobs vs 75k expected in August and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. June's 14K previously revised print was again revised lower to –13K while July’s 73k figure was revised higher to 79k.
  • Japanese PM Shigeru Ishiba has resigned as LDP President after election losses cost the coalition its majority. He’s called for an emergency leadership vote and will stay on until a successor is chosen.
  • Japan annualized QoQ GDP for Q2 rose 2.2%, way above expectations of a 1% gain.

Equities: 

  • US - US stocks dipped Friday after weak August jobs data raised concerns about economic slowdown, despite growing expectations for Fed rate cuts. The S&P 500 fell 0.3%, the Dow lost 220 points, and the Nasdaq 100 was flat. Only 22K jobs were added vs. 75K forecast, with unemployment rising to 4.3%. Traders increased bets on a 50bps rate cut this month. Banks, energy, and industrials led losses, while real estate gained. Broadcom surged 9.4% on strong AI revenue outlook and 10b deal with OpenAI. Nvidia and AMD dropped after Trump’s tariff warning. Lululemon plunged 18.6% on a second profit warning; major banks fell over 2.5%.
  • EU - European stocks fell Friday, mirroring US losses after weak US jobs data raised global economic concerns. The STOXX 50 dropped 0.6% to 5,330, and the STOXX 600 slipped 0.2% to 549. Despite rising hopes for Fed rate cuts, fears of a slowdown and euro strength pressured Europe’s export-heavy sectors. Siemens and Airbus led industrial declines, while UniCredit, BNP Paribas, and Munich Re weighed on financials. The STOXX 600 was set to end the week flat.
  • HK - The Hang Seng rose 1.4% (359 pts) to 25,418 on Friday, snapping a three-day losing streak, lifted by Fed rate cut hopes and a record close on Wall Street. The index also gained 1.4% for the week, supported by a CNY 1 trillion liquidity boost from China’s central bank. Gains were broad-based, led by tech, consumer, and property stocks. Ubtech Robotics jumped 4.4% on a major robot contract, while WuXi XDC rose 3.6% on a share sale. Other top movers included Horizon Robotics (+9.5%), SMIC (+6.0%), and Hansoh Pharma (+4.6%).

Earnings this week:

  • Monday: Planet, Casey's General Stores, Abivax, Mission Produce, Mama's Creations
  • Tuesday: Oracle, SailPoint Technologies, GameStop, Oriental Culture Holding LTD, FuelCell Energy, Core & Main, Designer Brands, Korn Ferry, Cognite,
  • Wednesday: Chewy, Daktronics, Zenvia, Lesaka Technologies, Oxford Industries, Culp, Vince Holding Corp
  • Thursday: Adobe

FX:

  • The yen fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said he would step down, souring sentiment toward Japanese assets. It weakened against all G10 peers as investors, already uneasy about Japan’s fiscal outlook, weighed the political uncertainty. Traders flagged longer-dated JGBs as particularly vulnerable to a sell-off amid questions over how the next administration will balance debt sustainability with spending commitments. USDJPY rose as much as 0.7% to 148.47 as markets assessed the succession and its policy implications.
  • EURUSD slipped 0.1% to 1.1709, with ECB officials likely to deliver an uncontentious rates judgement this week while monitoring France’s political strains.
  • AUDUSD edged down 0.1% to 0.6549; CFTC data for the week ended 2 September showed leveraged funds increasing net shorts for the first time since July, while asset managers trimmed shorts for the first time in five weeks.
  • NZDUSD eased 0.1% to 0.5886 after gaining 0.8% on Friday, and GBPUSD dipped 0.1% to 1.3491.

Commodities:

  • Eight OPEC+ members will raise oil output by 137,000 bpd in October as expected, citing stable global growth and solid market fundamentals. The next meeting is set for October 5. Crude oil is slightly higher this morning, up 0.3%.
  • Gold hovered near Friday’s record after a weak US payrolls print bolstered Fed cut bets, trading within $10 of its circa $3,600 peak in early Asia after a 1.5% late-Friday rally. The report showed slower hiring and unemployment at the highest since 2021.

Fixed income:

  • US Treasuries rallied after an August payrolls print that missed by a wide margin. Yields ended off the lows but were still 6–8bp richer across the curve. Persistent long-end demand into the close re-flattened 5s30s to session lows, reversing the early bull steepening. SOFR options flow mirrored the move as swaps priced more than 25bp of September easing.

 

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