Crypto update

First US listed ETFs holding spot Bitcoin start trading today

Equities 3 minutes to read

Summary:  The US regulator SEC has approved the first US ETFs holding spot Bitcoin opening up Bitcoin exposure to a much wider global audience. There will be 11 new ETFs starting trading today all with low expense ratios as the arms race has begun to become the world’s largest spot Bitcoin fund. What it will mean for the Bitcoin price is difficult to say at this point, but in other markets such as gold and uranium where ETFs were holding the underlying physical asset the impact has been positive on the price. For European investors under ESMA regulation the new US ETFs on spot Bitcoin will not mean much as they will not be compliant for European investors.


SEC approves Bitcoin spot ETFs

Yesterday, in a landmark decision, the US financial regulator the SEC approved the first spot Bitcoin ETFs for public listing. The cryptocurrency industry has been waiting for this moment for years and been fighting US regulators in court to get to this point. There are right now 11 ETFs planned to list with all of them approved yesterday, so the race is now on to become the biggest spot Bitcoin ETF. These 11 ETFs will start trading today and the list below highlights the ETFs, ticker code and primary exchange. The BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust will launch with a total expense as low as 12 bps.
11_pg_1

What will it mean for the Bitcoin price?

After a horrible 2022 for cryptocurrencies the market bottomed out in November 2022 and since then spot Bitcoin is up 185% with the trade in 2023 increasingly being about anticipating the upcoming SEC decision on US ETFs tracking spot Bitcoin. Following the SEC decision, we have not seen much price movements with spot Bitcoin trading around the 46,250 level up less than a percent in today’s trading session.

11_pg_2
XBTUSD weekly price | Source: Bloomberg

The big question is now whether this Bitcoin trade was a buy the rumour sell the facts like we saw back in 2017 when CME Group and Cboe Global Markets launched the first Bitcoin futures. ETFs holding underlying physical assets have in other markets such as gold and uranium been a positive factor for price developments and especially in the case of uranium, the new physical ETFs have tighten the market causing uranium prices to rally. The question is whether we will see the same developments over time with these 11 new ETFs holding spot Bitcoin as it opens the door for many more investors in the world’s largest financial market. It is important to note that SEC Chair Gary Gensler that specifically that while the SEC has approved these ETFs the regulator are by no means endorsing the underlying market, saying that retail investors should still be very cautious on investing into cryptocurrencies.

It does not change much for European investors

While the SEC approval is a big thing in the US, ETFs holding spot Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been available to investors outside the US for a long time. For European investors the launch of US ETFs on spot Bitcoin mean little as these ETFs will not be available for retail investors in the EU as these ETFs will not be compliant with UCITS regulation. As such, the new spot Bitcoin ETFs will only be available to professional investors in Europe.

For jurisdictions outside ESMA regulation such as Switzerland, UAE, and APAC the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs will open up new opportunities for investing more cheaply into Bitcoin. There are jurisdictions such as United Kingdom where crypto derivatives are banned for UK investors and Hong Kong were cryptocurrencies are illegal. For those two jurisdiction none of these new ETFs will make any difference.

So for many European retail investors the access to spot Bitcoin will not change the largest ETF is the Bitcoin Tracker EUR incorporated and listed in Sweden with €828mn in total assets and total expense ratio of 2.5%. So for this particular ETF in Europe the new US ETFs could put on some pricing pressure as it is 20 times more expensive than the iShares Bitcoin Trust and thus any professional investor in the EU that has exposure to Bitcoin through the Bitcoin Tracker EUR ETF would ideally switch fund exposure.

11_pg_3
Bitcoin Tracker EUR ETF| Source: Saxo

Disclaimer

Confidentiality and Usage:
You may not reproduce, distribute, or transmit this material or any portion thereof without prior written permission from Saxo.

Nature of Information:
The information provided herein is based on current market conditions and analysts' opinions, which may reflect personal views of the author, and are subject to change without notice. This material does not include a record of any trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, or endorsement to enter into any transaction in any investment product. Any forecast on the economy, markets and economic trends of the markets provided is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the investment product subject of this material.

Responsibility and Liability:
Saxo accepts no liability for any use that may be made of these comments or for any consequences that arise from such use. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

The information provided in this material is solely for information only. It is intended for general circulation and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Accordingly, it should not be relied on or treated as a substitute for specific advice concerning specific situations of any person. Please seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before you make a commitment to purchase an investment product. In the event that you choose not to seek advice from a financial adviser, you should consider whether any investment product mentioned in this publication is suitable for you.

Notwithstanding the above, insofar as any information provided herein contains research analyses or reports concerning any investment product authored by any foreign research house and is issued or promulgated to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor, and/or institutional investor, Saxo Capital Market Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility for the contents of this material to the extent required by law. Recipients of such material are to contact Saxo Capital Markets Pte. Ltd. in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this material.

Risk Disclosure:
Trading in investment products involve significant risk, including the risk of losing your entire investment. Historical returns are not a guarantee of future returns. Prices can both rise and fall, and there is a risk that you will not get back the money you invested.

Conflicts of interest:
The author may hold positions in the investment products mentioned. The author does not own positions in the underlying investment product exceeding 0.5% of its market capitalisation, save as otherwise declared. The author is not permitted to trade the mentioned investment products within the first 24 hours after the publication of this article.

Saxo maintains partnerships with companies that compensate Saxo for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Additionally, Saxo has agreements with certain partners who provide retrocession contingent upon clients purchasing specific investment products offered by these partners. While Saxo receives compensation from these partnerships, all content is conducted with the intention of providing clients with valuable options and information.

Publication details:
If any listed companies are the subject of the material, the content has not been submitted to the companies in question prior to publication.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Markets
88 Market Street
CapitaSpring #31-01
Singapore 048948

Contact Saxo

Singapore
Singapore

Saxo Capital Markets Pte Ltd ('Saxo Markets') is a company authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) [Co. Reg. No.: 200601141M ] and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms & Risk Warning to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Saxo is part of the J. Safra Sarasin Group.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Trading in leveraged products such as Margin FX products may result in your losses exceeding your initial deposits. Saxo Markets does not provide financial advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation.

The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit www.home.saxo/en-sg/about-us/awards.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website are not intended for residents of the United States, Malaysia and Japan. Please click here to view our full disclaimer.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries and regions. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.