Apple’s crisp results are a tasty treat for Wall Street
FX Trader, Loonieviews.net
Summary: May Day brings sweet news for Apple investors as the stock shoots up more than 5%,, and there's also some suggestion that Friday's nonfarm payrolls might be stronger than expected. Until then, we have the Fed policy meeting to chew over this evening.
Apple’s results were a sweet treat for Wall Street. The three major indices are higher in early trading with this morning’s surprisingly strong ADP employment report providing an assist. ADP said that private sector employment rose by 275,000 jobs in March, which to some, means that Friday’s nonfarm payrolls may be higher than expected.
They won’t cave to Trump’s latest harangue, via Twitter, to lower rates. Nevertheless, the Fed is on record for stating that monetary policy decisions are “data dependent”. Most of the recent data that they depend on, has been on the strong side which not only muted chatter of a looming recession but could change the tone of the FOMC statement. If so, the US dollar will resume its uptrend.
The weaker than expected ISM Manufacturing Index (Actual 52.8 vs forecast 55.0) boosted EURUSD to 1.1243. A break above 1.1270 would shift the focus to 1.1360. A move below 1.1210 would target 1.1150.
Latest Market Insights
Outrageous Predictions 2023: The War Economy
- The constantly growing global need for energy drives the world's richest to huddle up and launch a R&D project in a size the world hasn't seen since the Manhattan Project gave the US the first atomic bomb.
French President Macron resignsThe political stalemate in France and the rise of Marie Le Pen following the 2022 elections corners President Macron, forcing him to give up on politics and resign from his position. At least for now.
Gold rockets to USD 3,000 as central banks fail on inflation mandateAs markets and central banks realise that the idea that inflation is transitory is wrong, and that prices will remain higher for longer, gold is sent through the roof, hitting a price tag of USD 3,000
EU Army forces EU down path to full unionWith continued challenges in the region and a US military that isn't aggressively enacting its former role as global policeman, the European Union agrees to create its own armed forces, bringing the whole region closer.
A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not only put a heavy tax on meat, but to ban domestic production entirely.
UK holds UnBrexit referendumFollowing a recession and domestic pressure, the United Kingdom is thrown into political turmoil that will end with a vote to wind back Brexit.
Widespread price controls are introduced to cap official inflationHistory tells us that with the war economy comes rationing and price controls. And this time is no different, as policymakers introduce strict price controls that lead to a range of unintended consequences.
OPEC+ & Chindia walk out of the IMF, agree to trade with new reserve assetSanctions against Russia have caused widespread turmoil due to US Dollar moves in countries across the globe that don't consider the US an ally. To relieve themselves from this, they leave the IMF and create a new reserve asset.
USDJPY fixed to the USD at 200 as Japan overhauls financial systemFollowing the challenges that faced the Japanese Yen in 2022, the Bank of Japan attempts to keep the currency from sliding. Unsuccessful on the long-term, Japan will launch a reset of its entire financial system.
Tax haven ban kills private equityWith the war economy comes an increased focus on national interests and sovereign nations' ability to assert themselves. In that regard, the OECD countries turn their attention on tax havens and pull the big guns out, banning them altogether.