Quarterly Outlook
Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
GBPUSD is taking lows at dropping below 1.14 and is now trading in territory not seen since 1985! Back then GBPUSD was spiking down to around 1.05 before Central banks joined together to lift it.
Will they come to rescue this time around?
If GBPUSD closes the week below 1.14 and RSI closes the week below its rising trendline there could be more downside in store for GBPUSD.
The latest correction here in Q3 has reached 1.764 projection and could short term extend to 2.00 projection i.e., 200% of the correction peak and trough, at 1.1226.
However, looking at the entire 2020-2022 up-and down move 1.382 Fibonacci projection of that is 1.0323.
To reverse this very bearish picture GBPUSD needs to close above 1.2295.
Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity