Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: Tesla has closed the bearish gap with a bullish move yesterday. Indicators suggesting higher share price. Maybe even back to 300
Tesla has closed the gap with a bullish move. RSI closed above 60 threshold confirming the bullish scenario that could take Tesla higher.
Closed yesterday at the 100 Daily Moving Average Tesla is likely to test and break above the upper falling trendline
Some resistance at around 268 and strong resistance at around 279.50
To reverse the bullish picture a close below 226 is needed. If that scenario plays out Tesla could be hit by heavy selling towards 150.
Medium-term Tesla is in a bearish trend (lower lows and lower highs) but RSI is showing positive sentiment with no divergence suggesting Tesla could move higher in coming weeks and months
RSI is currently moving above its falling trendline indicating a break higher. If weekly RSI is closing above 60 there is strong indication of higher Tesla share price.
A close above 269 will demolish the medium-term bearish picture and a close above 279 will further add to a bullish scenario where Tesla is likely to move back in the +300 area.
Disclaimer
The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.
Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)