Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Access both platforms from your single Saxo account.
Technical Update - AEX25, CAC40 and SMI20 bounced strongly, but will it hold? Find key levels here
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
- NETH25 cfd, FRA40 cfd and SWISS20 cfd charts with levels included
AEX25:
Similar to DAX and EuroStoxx50 AEX 25 has bounced to the 0.618 retracement of the sell-off at around 894. Just below the key gap area 901-907.
Key here will also be whether AEX can close the gap are i.e., a close above 907. If it does there is upside potential to 927 strong resistance.
NETH25 cfd:
CAC40 has crawled back above 7,300 and is close to test resistance at around 7,370. Which is also the 0.618 retracement of the sell-oof early August.
A daily close above next resistance at around 7,464, which is kind of a Bull/Bear pivot level meaning a close above 7,464 could establish an uptrend that can lift CAC40 further, possibly up to 7,725.
However, the strength indicator RSI is showing negative sentiment and is required to close back above 60 threshold to reverse to positive sentiment.
If CAC40 fails to close above 7,464 and RSI fails to close above 60 the index is likely to resume downtrend. First indication of that scenario to play out would be a daily close below 7,300
FRA40 cfd:
SMI20 has bounced strongly, much stronger than the other European markets.
The index is trying to close above the Cloud (shaded area) and if it succeed further upside potential is int eh cards for SMI20
However, the strength indicator RSI is showing negative sentiment and is required to close back above 60 threshold to reverse positive sentiment which would add to the bullish picture
If SMI slides back to close below 11,928 thereby closing the gap another sell-off could hit, with support at around 11,771
SWISS20 cfd:
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook
-
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Upending the global order at blinding speed
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ... -
Quarterly Outlook
Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy