Get To Know BHP, the world's biggest commodity stock
Video length: 8 minutes

Get To Know BHP, the world's biggest commodity stock

Jessica Amir
Market Strategist

Summary:  BHP is the world’s biggest mining company, with a $145 billion valuation and a strong and diverse revenue stream. From producing iron ore and copper, essential in industrializing the world, to producing coal and petroleum, for critical energy. BHP’s Chief Financial Officer, David Lamont, joins Saxo’s Strategist Jessica Amir to discuss how different the business will look in five years, with its major focus on providing copper, nickel and potash, essential to the green movement, and to keeping the world fed. Although BHP’s success over the decades has been underpinned by China’s urbanization, its future will soon hinge on the globes green transformation and demand for food production. Watch the interview and get to know the world’s biggest diversified commodity group in eight minutes.

If you prefer to read about BHP, instead of watching the 8 minute interview, see below 

BHP's earnings results, their best ever. What are the highlights?

In the 2022 financial year BHP made an outstanding $65.1 billion in revenue from selling iron ore, copper, coal, and petroleum to different regions across the globe. To the delight of shareholders, BHP recorded its highest ever gross profit of $23 billion, that’s a 26% jump on the prior result. The record result also meant BHP was able to pay out its highest ever dividend on record. Almost a 16% gross dividend yield. As we reported in our Quick Take, the stellar results was bolstered by a 271% jump in the thermal coal price, and a 43% spike in the nickel price. On top of that, BHP's financial results were also thickened by its partial sales of its oil and gas business to Woodside, and from selling some of its coal assets to Stanmore Coal. 


BHP is the world's largest iron ore producer, the 2nd largest copper producer & top four nickel producer, making it globally significant 


TodayBHP’s revenue is split from 58% iron ore, 27% from copper, the remaining revenue from coal and petroleum. Five years from now, BHP’s revenue split will look very different, with the company wanting to focus on producing more green metals, including copper and nickel, while BHP will also replace its fossil fuel income (coal and petrol) by pivoting to becoming the world’s leader in potash, essential for the food industry. In a separate  interview BHP's Chief Executive Officer Mike Henry said: the long-term outlook for copper, nickel and potash is really strong because of the “unstoppable global trends: decarbonization, electrification, population growth, increasing standards of living.”


In 2023 the world’s biggest miner sees commodity demand improving

As per our Quick Take notes, BHP sees China emerging as a source of stable commodity demand in the year ahead. BHP sees supply covering demand in the near-term for copper and nickel. This implies higher pricing can be expected given demand will likely grow quicker than supply. However, BHP says iron ore will likely remain in surplus through 2023. This implies iron ore pricing could remain contained. 


BHP's sales to China are soaring

Sales to China have been increasing for half a decade as China has drastically increased its demand for iron ore (the key element in steel). Today sales to China make up 65% of the business. And despite China saying it wants to produce its own iron ore, BHP says China does not have the resources to to do. Thus, China will likely remain dependent on other nations for the key steel ingredient. BHP sees its iron ore business growing in magnitude to cater for growing iron ore demand and sees its business growing from a 290 million tones business to a 330mt juggernaut. 


Industrial metal demand will keep growing

BHP affirmed that despite the global push to being carbon neutral, the world will still need iron ore. Specifically, In 30 years, the world will need 1.8 times more steel that it produces today. As for copper; BHP sees double the amount of copper being needed in the next 30 years (compared to today's global need). And double the amount of nickel will be needed too. BHP sees itself as being a major player in these markets. 


BHP's Green transformation

BHP’s push to ‘going green’ involves focusing on copper, nickel and potash. BHP sees these as being the key commodities of the future. David sees strong demand for all these of its key focus commodities in a decarbonized world. And ‘as the world needs to feed itself’ potash and fertilizer will play an important role. BHP will however continue to look at lithium and cobalt, however at the moment, it doesn’t see them fitting its portfolio. 


Why BHP is a favorite stock for many investors

In 2022 alone, BHP contributed $72 billion to the global economy. By market size its the 85th biggest company in the globe. It has one of the lowest price to earnings ratios, being 7.14 times (meaning its relatively cheap compared it what it earns). While it's historically produced one of the best dividends, paying a 16% dividend yield. In terms of share price performance, over the last five years its shares have risen 80% (as at the time of publishing August, 22, 2022). 


For more information on BHP, please head to the
Trading Screen and search BHP. 

To see how BHP compares to other commodity stocks, please head to Saxo's Commodity basket.  

<Please note, the video interview with David Lamont, was recorded on the day BHP handed down their financial results, Tuesday August 16 2022>

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: Will lower rates lift all boats in equities?

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    After a period of historically high equity index concentration driven by the 'Magnificent Seven' sto...
  • FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX Outlook: USD in limbo amid political and policy jitters

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    As we enter the final quarter of 2024, currency markets are set for heightened turbulence due to US ...
  • Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    The Fed started the US rate cut cycle in Q3 and in this macro outlook we will explore how the rate c...
  • Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Gold and silver continue to shine bright

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperfo...
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynami...
  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Peter Garnry

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Explore the "two-lane economy," European equities, energy commodities, and the impact of US fiscal p...
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Quarterly Outlook

    Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain ...
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities i...

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-gb/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

Select region

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992