Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Access both platforms from your single Saxo account.
Technical Update - US Treasury yields on the rise. Could make new highs
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
Summary: Correction in US Treasury yields likely to be over. Uptrends set to resume. Uptrends that could very well take out previous peaks
2-year yields bouncing from rising trendline
10-years resuming uptrend not even touching lower rising trend line, a sign of strength
30-year bouncing from support close to confirm uptrend resuming
US 2-year Treasury yields bounced off the lower rising trendline and the 55 daily Moving Average.
RSI is still bullish suggesting higher yields. A bullish move to around the 5% level seems likely.
If yields are taking out the previous peak at 4.062 a move to 5.20 is in the cards
A close below 4.70 will demolish and reverse the bullish picture and is likely to push 2-year yields down toa round 4.50-4.40
US 10-year Treasury yields correction following the Evening Doji like top and reversal pattern (circled, and not perfect since the body of the Doji candle is inside the preceding bullish candle and the subsequent bearish candle) seems to be over.
Bouncing from the 0.5 retracement at 4.04 yields are resuming uptrend.
No divergence on RSI indicating likely higher yields. An RSI close above 60 will further underline that picture.
If yields are taking out 4.28 resistance new highs are in the cards. A move to the 1.382 projection at 4.48 and testing of the upper rising trendline could be seen.
US 30-year Treasury yields bounced from support area 4.17-4.14 and seems to be resuming uptrend.
A close above 4.33 and an RSI close above 60 will confirm that scenario.
US 30-year yields could be set for higher highs.
A break above 4.48 a move to the 1.382 projection at 4.58 is likely.
Resistance at 4.35-4.36 is key.
For this potential bullish scenario to be demolished a close below 4.17
A close above 4.33 and an RSI close above 60 will confirm that scenario.
US 30-year yields could be set for higher highs.
A break above 4.48 a move to the 1.382 projection at 4.58 is likely.
Resistance at 4.35-4.36 is key.
For this potential bullish scenario to be demolished a close below 4.17
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook
-
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Upending the global order at blinding speed
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ... -
Quarterly Outlook
Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
-
Quarterly Outlook
Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification
Ole Hansen
Head of Commodity Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
-
Quarterly Outlook
Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges
Althea Spinozzi
Head of Fixed Income Strategy