27aplM

Apple earnings: record revenue, strong holiday outlook and services shine

Jacob Falkencrone 400x400
Jacob Falkencrone

Global Head of Investment Strategy

Key points:

  
  • Apple delivered record revenue of USD 102.5 billion, up 8% year on year, and earnings per share of USD 1.85, both above expectations.
  • The company guided for 10–12% revenue growth in the December quarter, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand and record services income.
  • Services are now Apple’s most powerful growth engine, while China remains the main challenge.

A record quarter and a confident tone

Apple’s latest results underscored why it remains one of the most valuable and resilient companies in global markets. In the September quarter, Apple achieved record revenue and profits, setting a positive tone for the all-important holiday season. The stock rose about 4% in after-hours trading, touching an all-time high.

Key numbers:

  • Revenue: USD 102.5 billion (vs. USD 102 billion expected)
  • Earnings per share: USD 1.85 (vs. USD 1.76–1.78 expected)
  • Year-on-year growth: Revenue +8%, profit +86%
  • Gross margin: 47.2% (above expectations)
  • Cash: USD 36 billion
  • Share buybacks: Around USD 20 billion

Chief Executive Tim Cook said the results marked a September-quarter record for both iPhone and services. The figures show Apple’s ecosystem remains resilient and deeply embedded in consumers’ lives as the company heads into the strongest shopping season of the year.

iPhone 17 drives growth but faces supply strains

The new iPhone 17 line-up was the main driver of growth. iPhone sales rose 6% to USD 49 billion, slightly below expectations due to supply bottlenecks in some models. The combination of higher price points on the Pro and Pro Max models and strong initial demand boosted revenue, even as unit volumes stayed relatively stable.

Apple’s Chief Financial Officer, Kevan Parekh, said the company expects total revenue to grow 10–12% year on year in the December quarter, with double-digit iPhone growth. That is well above market expectations of 6%. The refreshed design, improved battery life and upgraded camera systems appear to have reignited the upgrade cycle after years of modest refreshes.

Apple’s momentum suggests a broad upgrade wave could extend well into 2026. The iPhone remains the backbone of Apple’s business, accounting for roughly half of total revenue, and the early signs for the iPhone 17 cycle point to sustained demand.

Services hit all-time high and strengthen Apple’s model

Apple’s services division has become the company’s most powerful profit engine. Services revenue rose 15% to USD 28.8 billion, setting an all-time high and pushing full-year services revenue above USD 100 billion for the first time.

The business includes the App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Pay, and payments from Google to remain the default search provider in Safari. It now represents more than a quarter of Apple’s total sales and carries gross margins above 75%, roughly double those of hardware.

The steady expansion of Apple’s installed base of active devices has turned services into a structural growth driver. Every new iPhone, iPad or Mac sold increases the company’s recurring revenue stream and deepens customer loyalty. The growing subscription footprint gives Apple visibility into future earnings and reduces reliance on one-off product cycles.

Regional divergence: strength in Europe, softness in China

The geographical picture was mixed. Europe delivered strong performance, with sales up 15% year on year to USD 28.7 billion, supported by strong iPhone and Mac demand. The Americas rose 6% to USD 44.2 billion, while Japan and the rest of Asia-Pacific posted double-digit growth.

China was the weak spot, with revenue down 4% to USD 14.5 billion. Competition from local brands and lingering trade friction weighed on results. Apple has been diversifying production to India to reduce its dependency on China, a move that could ease tariff exposure in future quarters.

Margins, cash and shareholder returns

Apple’s gross margin of 47.2% beat expectations, supported by a higher services mix and strong cost discipline. Operating income reached USD 32.4 billion, equivalent to a margin above 31%.

The company continues to return substantial cash to shareholders, repurchasing around USD 20 billion in shares during the quarter and maintaining a dividend of USD 0.26 per share payable on 13 November. The balance sheet remains robust, with nearly USD 36 billion in cash and equivalents.

Outlook: optimism with caveats

Apple offered an upbeat outlook for the December quarter, forecasting revenue growth of 10–12% and double-digit iPhone sales. That guidance signals confidence in consumer demand despite economic uncertainty.

However, the report also highlighted areas to watch. Apple’s ambitions in artificial intelligence continue to lag its peers, with the next major Siri upgrade delayed until 2026. While rivals are building AI platforms, Apple’s approach is more device-centric and privacy-focused. The company aims to integrate AI quietly into its products rather than compete directly with chatbots and cloud services.

Regulatory scrutiny remains another risk. Apple’s tight control over its ecosystem and its lucrative deal with Google face constant legal and political attention. Any forced changes could pressure services margins, though recent court rulings have so far favoured Apple.

What investors should monitor

In the coming quarters, three indicators will be crucial:

  1. iPhone 17 sell-through: Whether the early upgrade enthusiasm can sustain beyond the holiday season.
  2. Services momentum: Continued double-digit growth despite regulatory challenges.
  3. China trajectory: Signs of stabilisation or further decline.

Apple’s ability to balance these dynamics will determine whether it can extend its record run. The company’s transformation from a hardware vendor to a platform ecosystem gives it more stability than in past cycles, but expectations are high and execution must remain flawless.

A solid foundation heading into 2026

This quarter underlined Apple’s evolution. Slower iPhone unit growth was more than offset by rising margins, growing services, and record cash generation. The business is now driven as much by recurring income as by product launches.

For investors, the story remains one of consistency and resilience. Few companies combine Apple’s scale, loyalty, and profitability. The devices may change each year, but the formula endures: sell the hardware once, and the ecosystem for life.


 

 

 

This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.


Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Q4 Outlook for Traders: The Fed is back in easing mode. Is this time different?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q4 Outlook for Traders: The Fed is back in easing mode. Is this time different?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    The Fed launched a new easing cycle in late Q3. Will this cycle now play out like 2000 or 2007?
  • Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Investor Outlook: Beyond American shores – why diversification is your strongest ally

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    Quarterly Outlook

    Q3 Macro Outlook: Less chaos, and hopefully a bit more clarity

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    After the chaos of Q2, the quarter ahead should get a bit more clarity on how Trump 2.0 is impacting...
  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

The information on or via the website is provided to you by Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. (“Saxo Bank”) for educational and information purposes only. The information should not be construed as an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction or any particular service, nor should the contents be construed as advice of any other kind, for example of a tax or legal nature.

All trading carries risk. Loses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Saxo Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information provided and shall not be responsible for any errors or omissions or for any losses or damages resulting from the use of such information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore not been prepared in accordance with directives designed to promote the independence of financial/investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of financial/investment research.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.