Erik Schafhauser Zürich Erik Schafhauser Zürich Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew September 15 2023

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Will Risk sentiment hold into the weekend?


Good Morning

Strong data our of China and a solid ARM IPO boost risk sentiment this morning, Especially the Chinese Retail sales at 4.6% increase rather than the expected 3% was appreciated by traders.

Arm Holdings gained  almost 25% from the debut price on Thursday from an IPO price of 51 to 63.59.  This could lead the way to more IPO…

Indexees are strong with the US 500 at 4515, the GER40 at5 15925 and the USTech100NAS at 15505.

The European Central Bank raised its key rate to a record 4% on Thursday and revised up its inflation forecast for next year, but with the euro zone economy struggling, it signalled that the hike was likely its last for now.

In the aftermath of the ECB rate decision and solid US Data, the USD Soared and EURUSD came under pressure. Precious metals sold off but recovered mostly. EURUSD traded a high of above 1.0750 yesterday to fall to 1.0630 and recover to 1.0650. Silver fell from 23 to 22.30 only to trade back at 23 now. Fintwit went wild over price discrepancies between the Shanghai and Chicago exchanges. GBPUSD held above the 24 after testing below.

The  US United Auto Workers union launched simultaneous strikes at three factories owned by General Motors, Ford and Chrysler.

A market to watch is the real estate market with Swedish Giant Heimstaden Bostad is struggling to refinance and this could have significant impact if not resolved quickly.

Will risk sentiment hold into the weekend?

- Data Today: AU PMI, China, Urban Output & Retail Sales, EU Trade Balance, US NY Fed, Industrial production.

Expiries

Physically Settled Futures

  • ADU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • BPU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • CUSU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 04:00 GMT
  • DXU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 09:00 GMT
  • E7U3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • EADU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • ECU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • JYU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • M6AU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • M6BU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • M6EU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • M6JU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • NEU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • PJYU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • RFU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • RPU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • RYU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • SEU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • SFU3 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • CDU3 will expire 18 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • MCDU3 will expire 18 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • CLV3 will expire 20 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • PLV3 will expire 21 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT

 

Expiring CFDs

  • EU50SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • FRA40SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 15:00 GMT
  • GER40SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • GERTECH30SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • NETH25SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • NOR25SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • SPAIN35SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • SWE30SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • SWISS20SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 06:01 GMT
  • UK100SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 12:00 GMT
  • US2000SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • US30SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • US500SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • USNAS100SEP23 will expire 15 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • OILUSOCT23 will expire 18 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT
  • PLATINUMOCT23 will expire 20 Sep 2023 at 08:00 GMT

 

 

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