Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew November 6 2024

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Trump 2.0 is here


Good morning,

All eyes are on the US election where a Trump victory is getting more likely – markets are reacting accordingly. After he won Georgia and North Carolina, the chances of for Harris seem slim, the Republicans won the US senate already so there is no chance of a democtratic sweep from here.

Crypto is soaring with Bitcoin up 8% and Ethereum up 7.7, European Indexes are lower for fear of trade barriers, US Indexes and the Nikkei are higher and the USD gains against most currencies, the USD Index is testing 105 up 1.5%, EURUSD us 1.0750, USDCHF is 0.8720, Gold and Silver are losing ground at -1% and -3%.  US 10 Year Yields rise to 4.42 as the fed`s path becomes less clear.

Traders are betting ready for an America first policy with tariffs on imports.

Here Is our initial comment:

https://www.saxotrader.com/d/research/inspiration/article?articleid=8effc779-6288-4450-8f0b-9aab7b7f4f5e

Tomorrow we are hosting a webinar with Blu Putnam:

The post-election market outlook

Global markets will be shaped by the trajectory of the US economy and fiscal and monetary policy in 2025. Is your portfolio ready for the new US president set to take office in January? This webinar features special guest Blu Putnam, former chief economist with CME Group.

In other news, Novo Nordisk reported earnings this morning and could report profit in line with expectations and lowered its full-year sales and profit guidance.

 

Continue to expect sharp moves through the days on any changes to sentiment and commentary either way and keep your risk under control.

 

 

Wednesday
- Data US Election Result
- Earnings:  Novo Nordisk, Teva, Toyota, ARM, AMC, Qualcom,

Thursday
- Data DE Industrial Production, Sweden, Norway, UK and US Rate Decisions
- Earnings: Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Rivian, thetradedesk, Pinterest, Airbnb

Friday
- Data Canada Labor Data

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.