Strongest Japan stock bull market runs

Strongest Japan stock bull market runs

Ken Shih v2
Ken Shih

Saxo’s Head of Wealth Management Greater China

Summary:  Japanese stocks are up +100% since March 2020. The rally in Japanese stocks in 2023 has been broad based. What are the high-quality stocks we should investigate? High return on invested capital (ROIC) companies can be a good way to start with.


strongest japan stock
Source: finviz

The Japanese stock market has been one of the bright stories this year UP +29% relative US stocks which are up +15%.

  1. The rally in Japanese stocks in 2023 has been broad based

    What's interesting about Japanese stocks is the rally has not be by singular sectors or themes (like the US) but by rather a more broad-based rally.
    Japan has been put on the map by global investors since Warren Buffett
    s Berkshire Hathaway made their earlier investments in Japanese commodity trading firms. Buffett disclosed in August 2020 that he acquired slightly more than 5% in each of Japan's top five trading houses: Itochu Corp, Marubeni Corp, Mitsubishi Corp, Mitsui, and Sumitomo Corp and today (June 19th) disclosed he has RAISED his stakes to 8.5%.
    Furthermore, the rising tensions between the US and China have also put Japan on a path to become a more important manufacturer of physical goods for Western companies to reduce their supply chain risks.

  2.  Identifying the rare gems of Japans corporate sector

    Japan was known for decades to be a hunting ground for DEEP VALUE stocks. Fast forward to Japan in 2023 and investors can still go on deep value hunting, but this segment is what Warren Buffett would call looking for cigar boxes with maybe one last cigar puff.
    It is more interesting to hunt for HIGH QUALITY companies and a good way to start is to isolate companies with a high return on invested capital (ROIC) as that is typically a signal of a strong business model and product.
    "Return on invested capital" (ROIC) is a calculation used to assess a company's efficiency in allocating capital to profitable investments.
    14 Japanese companies with an ROIC above 20% and a market value of above US$5 billion is listed below:

Table

One stock worth investors looking out for is Advantest (6857 JP) which is up +132%  in 2023. The company is Japans leading manufacturer of automatic test equipment for the semiconductor industry, and manufacturer of measuring instruments used in designing, production, and maintenance of electronic systems such as fiber optics and wireless communications equipment. In a country known for low growth and inflation since the late 1980s, Advantest is a rare growth story that has grown both its revenue and profit margins strongly.

 

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