Quarterly Outlook
Q4 Outlook for Investors: Diversify like it’s 2025 – don’t fall for déjà vu
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Investment and Options Strategist
From custody to coins, miners to payment rails, the crypto economy is scaling fast. And while headlines often focus on price swings in Bitcoin or Ethereum, investors can also gain exposure to the broader blockchain ecosystem through listed equities. These companies span infrastructure, applications, and services that power the digital asset economy. Our crypto and blockchain theme offers a practical, transparent way to invest in this space through a diversified basket of global stocks.
The blockchain revolution is no longer theoretical. Tokenisation of assets, crypto-native payment networks, and Web3 applications are transforming financial infrastructure, digital identity, and even the way creators monetise content. But this isn’t just about holding coins. The value chain now includes:
This layered exposure is what gives the theme its breadth. It captures the expansion of blockchain-based systems across industries—not just within cryptocurrency speculation.
Our crypto and blockchain theme is built using a rules-based approach. We screen globally for listed companies that derive significant business exposure from digital assets or enabling blockchain technologies. From that universe, we select stocks that span different parts of the value chain, ensuring no overconcentration in one sector or region.
The basket is rebalanced periodically to reflect market developments, remove outdated names, and include new players. Importantly, the selected equities are liquid and tradable, making the product suitable for both retail and professional investors.
The theme benefits from a combination of structural tailwinds and emerging adoption trends:
Together, these trends support a growing and diversified set of revenue streams tied to the digital asset economy.
As with any thematic investment, there are meaningful risks to consider:
Investors should assess this theme as a long-term satellite allocation with the potential for high dispersion among constituents.
The crypto and blockchain theme can be used as a tactical or strategic satellite allocation within a diversified portfolio. While it may not form part of a core holding, it offers asymmetric upside exposure to a growing segment of the economy. Given the volatility of some underlying assets, sizing should be conservative and aligned with one’s risk appetite and investment horizon.
As the theme evolves, investors should watch:
These drivers can significantly influence sentiment, revenue expectations, and capital flows across the basket.
The current basket includes a carefully selected group of companies with direct or enabling exposure to the digital asset economy:
This curated selection provides exposure to both infrastructure and application layers of the blockchain ecosystem.
We use a publicly available methodology to construct the theme basket. Liquidity, relevance, and diversification are central to our selection rules. The list of constituents is published and reviewed on a regular basis to keep pace with sector developments. Investors can view the latest holdings and weightings directly on the platform.
The crypto and blockchain theme offers an intuitive and diversified way to gain equity exposure to a complex, fast-moving space. By investing in listed companies across the ecosystem—rather than trading individual coins—investors can participate in the blockchain transformation with transparency and ease. As adoption grows and the value chain matures, this theme may offer both growth potential and valuable diversification.