The military standoff in Syria between Russia and the US and its allies is a point of extreme focus for markets in the wake of the weekend's US/British/French air strikes. One of the assets most central to this continuing risk flashpoint is of course crude oil, with sanction actions against Iran and Russia vying with potential supply disruptions as the key narratives.
Saxo Bank global macro strategist Kay Van-Petersen is looking to short the June WTI contract from $67.10/barrel in a high-conviction trade.
He is aiming to target levels around $62.00-$65.00/b, but recognises key risks developing such as retaliation from Russia.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.