Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Summary: Today we look at yesterday's sharp rally in US equities that completely reversed the move from Friday. Elsewhere, long US treasury yields rose sharply just after posting new lows, while the moves at the front end of the yield curve (Fed expectations) and the rally in the US dollar since last week's pivotal FOMC meeting have largely stuck. We also look into the effects of the Fed's 5-bp hike on excess reserves and ponder whether the market has already fully priced a Fed rate hike cycle. A focus on equities on NVidia and its possible vulnerability in light of recent weakness in the cryptocurrency space, especially on China's crackdown. Today's pod with Peter Garnry on equities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Listen to today’s podcast and have a look at today’s slide deck.
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