Quick Take Asia

Asia Market Quick Take – 10 March, 2026

Macro 6 minutes to read
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Asia Market Quick Take – 10 March, 2026

Key points:

  • Macro: President Trump signals possible end to war with Iran
  • Equities: US markets rebounded; Hims & Hers rallies 41%
  • FX: AUD and NZD led G‑10 gains against the USD
  • Commodities: WTI plunged as much as 10% to $85 a barrel
  • Fixed income: 10-year Treasury yield swings from 4.2% to 4.1%

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Disclaimer: Past performance does not indicate future performance.

  

Macro:

  • President Donald Trump announced plans to waive oil sanctions on Iran and deploy the U.S. Navy to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, aiming to stabilize energy markets. He predicted the conflict with Iran would end "very soon" and threatened increased military action if Iran disrupted oil supplies. Despite successful military operations targeting Iran's missile and drone capabilities, Trump acknowledged unresolved issues with Iran's leadership.
  • Japan’s Q4 2025 GDP was revised up to 1.3% annualised q/q as stronger corporate investment—upgraded to 1.3% q/q from 0.2%—lifted growth, while PM Sanae Takaichi urges further spending to develop key industries.

Equities: 

  • US - Wall Street staged a sharp reversal as stocks and bonds rebounded on hopes the 10‑day‑old Iran war is nearing an end, with oil tumbling post‑settlement after topping $100 and the S&P 500 up 0.8% after President Donald Trump said the conflict is “very complete, pretty much,” helping the index erase an intraday drop of over 1.5% for the first time since April. Hewlett Packard Enterprise guided above estimates on AI hardware demand; Apple’s AI setbacks delayed a long‑planned smart‑home display; Anthropic sued the Defence Department over a supply‑chain risk designation; and Novo Nordisk and Hims & Hers (up 41%) agreed to partner on obesity drugs after months of acrimony.
  • EU - European stocks fell sharply, continuing the month's decline as rising energy prices heightened inflation concerns. The Eurozone's STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 each dropped by 0.7%. Banks and industrials were notably affected, with UniCredit and Deutsche Bank losing 1.5% amid fears of an ECB rate hike worsening credit conditions. Siemens and Schneider Electric fell 1.7% due to escalating power costs impacting margins. Roche outside the Eurozone slid 3% after failing a late-stage trial for its breast cancer drug.
  • Asia – On Monday, Asian markets experienced significant losses due to the Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. Nikkei 225 dropped 5.2% to 52,728.72 points, and Kospi fell 5.96% to 5,251.87 points. Hang Seng Index declined 1.4% to 25,408.46, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 decreased 2.8% to 8,599 points, marking its worst daily loss in 11 months.

Earnings this week:

  • Tuesday: Oracle, Kohl's, NIO, ABM Industries, AeroVironment, UNFI, BioNTech, Uranium Energy Corp
  • Wednesday: Campbell's, Sprinklr, UiPath, Algoma, OppFi, Descartes
  • Thursday: Adobe, Li Auto, Dollar General, Dick's Sporting Goods, SentinelOne
  • Friday: VEON, Century Casinos, Acurx Pharmaceuticals

FX:

  • USD weakened late in the New York session after President Donald Trump suggested the conflict with Iran might soon end, stating it is "very complete, pretty much." AUD and NZD outperformed the USD among G-10 currencies. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell by 0.1%, reversing earlier gains of up to 0.7%. Trump also mentioned the possibility of taking control of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • NZDUSD rose by 0.6% to 0.5932, reflecting increased optimism and a shift towards risk-on sentiment. Similarly, AUDUSD strengthened by 0.6%, reaching 0.7075.
  • EURUSD managed to recover 0.1% to 1.1625 after earlier hitting a low of 1.1507—its weakest point since late November.
  • USDJPY ended the session slightly softer at 157.70 as broader market sentiment shifted towards risk assets. Despite overall dollar weakness, USDCAD climbed by 0.1% to 1.3585 amid fluctuations in oil prices linked to ongoing geopolitical tensions. Trump's remarks have influenced positive shifts across these major currency pairs.

Commodities:

  • Gold steadied as the US dollar eased after President Trump suggested the Middle East war could be nearing an end, with bullion around $5,140 an ounce in early trading after a 0.6% fall the previous session, a dollar gauge down as much as 0.1% extending Monday’s decline.
  • Oil tumbled after President Trump signalled the Iran war could end soon, as the Middle East conflict roils energy markets and stokes inflation fears, with WTI plunging as much as 10% to $85.02 after Monday’s widest swing since prices briefly turned negative during the pandemic, and Trump saying in Florida he plans to waive oil‑related sanctions and have the US Navy escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

Fixed income:

  • 10-year Treasury yields ended 4 bps lower at ~4.09% after earlier spiking to 4.21%. Treasury futures rose after President Donald Trump told CBS the Iran war is “very complete, pretty much,” calming markets as stocks gained, while earlier oil strength had weighed on Treasuries and European bonds through Asia and early London, with UK yields leading a volatile sell‑off before paring losses into the London afternoon and lending some support to Treasuries, though 2‑year gilts remained about 11 bps cheaper on the day.

For a global look at markets – go to Inspiration.

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