Confusion reigns in crude oil ahead of weekly EIA report
Head of Commodity Strategy
Summary: Current very tight market conditions are keeping the risk to oil prices skewed to the upside, but this is a market with many moving and opposing parts and the picture could change very quickly. The next impulse could come from the EIA petroleum status report at 14:30 GMT.
Given the very tight market conditions currently being signalled through the steepening backwardation in Brent we maintain the view that the risk remains skewed towards higher prices. This may change if Saudi Arabia and its partners in the Opec+ JMMC group signal a willingness to increase production when they meet in Jeddah on May 19.
Struggling to gauge the eventual outcome of so many moving and opposing parts, the market has instead been trading from one headline to another. The next being the Weekly Petroleum Status Report from the EIA at 14:30 GMT (16:30 CET). The market is trading lower today following yesterday’s update from the American Petroleum Institute which showed a build in both crude oil and products.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Energy crisis could turn energy stocks into secular winnerWith long-term expected returns for the global energy sector close to 10%, we look at 40 stocks that could be set to cash in.
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.