11ukM

London Quick Take – 24 September – Defence stocks get a lift from Trump as equity markets retreat

Equities 3 minutes to read
Neil Wilson
Neil Wilson

Investor Content Strategist

Note: This is marketing material. This article is not investment advice, capital is at risk.

Key Points

  • Defence stocks rise after Trump comments on Ukraine, Russian incursions to Nato airspace
  • Nvidia pares back gains following its $100bn investment in OpenAI
  • UK growth is slowing ahead of the Budget
  • Quantum stocks extend rally amid broad optimism for the sector

Stocks in London were down early doors on Wednesday with the FTSE 100 testing the 9,200 level, down about a third of a percent, after nudging around the 9,260 area yesterday. Defence stocks were among the big gainers after Donald Trump agreed Nato countries should shoot down Russian aircraft that violate their airspace, and backed Ukraine to reclaim all its territory lost to Russia - with EU funds of course. Babcock and BAE Systems both climbed over 1%, bucking a Europe-wide downturn for equity markets. Likewise, whilst the DAX fell half a percent Rheinmetall rallied almost 2%. Leonardo was up similarly in Italy and Saab rose 4%. Nato seems ready to shoot down the next incursion – Turkey shot one down in 2015and WW3 was averted. I would be surprised if Russia heeds the warning – expect a big pullback in equity markets - ex-defence, which would surge - if a Russian jet is downed, but this should be treated as an opportunity. Utilities and defensive names are also firmer in London, while financials and anything cyclical lead the decliners this morning. I'm not convinced banks would do all that badly from war though...

UK growth is slowing – yesterday's flash composite PMI fell to a 4-month low. The good news is that price pressures are easing and this should make the Bank of England readier to cut rates this year – markets are way too hawkish on the BoE right now and Pimco is right to say the UK won’t be a big outlier on inflation (FT), whatever the OECD is saying. Sterling should have further to fall. 

Wall Street closed down on Tuesday, snapping a three-day win streak as Fed chair Jay Powell warned that equity markets were “fairly highly valued”. There is also some chatter about a possible government shutdown on 30 September.

Tech led the declines with the Nasdaq composite down almost one percent, while the S&P 500 closed half a percent lower, with Nvidia shares -2.8% a day after it announced a $100 billion investment in OpenAI. Amazon fell 3% and Tesla was down 2%. Oracle was down more than 4%.

There is obviously a bit of a concern about how sustainable a deal is where you invest $100bn and the company immediately uses that money to buy your products. Where is the market?

Mining stocks in the US - The US seeks an equity stake in Lithium Americas while renegotiating a $2.3bn DOE loan, with Reuters saying up to 10%. Its Thacker Pass mine is a top US lithium deposit. Shares were up 78% in postmarket. It comes after the MP Materials deal. I flagged this back in April.

Quantum stocks showed no signs of slowing down - Rigetti up 11% and D-Wave up 7% to extend a sharp rally 2-week rally. That’s after IonQ, another stock in the space, reported a “significant quantum internet milestone”.

Gold traded firmer but was a little off yesterday’s record highs. China is said to be pushing central banks to buy and store gold in the country via the Shanghai Gold Exchange. 

 

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • Britain’s Great EU Backdoor Return

    Outrageous Predictions

    Britain’s Great EU Backdoor Return

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    Faced with rolling fiscal, economic, trade and political crises the UK government sneaks back into t...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...

This content is marketing material. 

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Capital Market Ltd. (SCML) provides execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice or a recommendation.

SCML content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

SCML partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conducted on its platform. Some partners also pay retrocessions contingent on clients investing in products from those partners. 

While SCML receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. SCML does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo
40 Bank Street, 26th floor
E14 5DA
London
United Kingdom

Contact Saxo

United Kingdom
United Kingdom

Trade Responsibly
All trading carries risk. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more
Additional Key Information Documents are available in our trading platform.

Saxo is a registered Trading Name of Saxo Capital Markets UK Ltd (‘Saxo’). Saxo is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, Firm Reference Number 551422. Registered address: 26th Floor, 40 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5DA. Company number 7413871. Registered in England & Wales.

This website, including the information and materials contained in it, are not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in the United States, Belgium or any other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation.

It is important that you understand that with investments, your capital is at risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. It is your responsibility to ensure that you make an informed decision about whether or not to invest with us. If you are still unsure if investing is right for you, please seek independent advice. Saxo assumes no liability for any loss sustained from trading in accordance with a recommendation.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Android is a trademark of Google Inc.

©   since 1992