Products
Platforms
Accounts
Inspiration
About
Support
Institutional
Log in Open account
Switzerland
CFDs and forex spot transactions are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor lose money when trading CFDs and/or forex spot with this provider. 0.42% of retail clients trading in leveraged products experience a negative account balance after a stop out occurred.
Show more
CFDs and forex spot transactions are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor lose money when trading CFDs and/or forex spot with this provider. 0.42% of retail clients trading in leveraged products experience a negative account balance after a stop out occurred. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs, forex spot transactions or any of our other products work and whether you can afford to take high risk of losing your money.
Show less
Erik Schafhauser Zürich

Morning Brew February 28 2024

Morning Brew 1 minute to read
Erik Schafhauser

Senior Relationship Manager

Summary:  Treading water

Good Morning,

Bad Durable goods orders and a disappointing consumer confidence weigh on sentiment without lowering the yield and raising hopes of rate cuts.

We saw basically a pause in equities with the Dow slightly lower while the S&P and the Nasdaq could rise – all stayed within 0.5% plus or minus. Interestingly the GER40 seems to be celebrating the German recession and is up 2.5% on the week at 17580. Cinese small caps are under severe pressure this morning as the small cap Index falls 6.5%.

The 10 Year yields are little moved at 4.28 and the USD index a little higher. EURUSD is at 1.0825, GBPUSD 1.2655 and USDJPY 150.66 again.

Gold and Silver are lower at 2028 and 22.40, Bitcoin strong at 57k. Kim posted on the technicals of Bitcoin below while Ole on the resilience of Gold to rate expectation changes.

Technical Update - Coinbase and Crypto mining companies lifted by rally in Bitcoin and Ethereum

Resilient gold market defies lower rate cut predictions

 

Today we have the key earnings day of the week with Salesforce and Snowflake, there is a release of the PCE Prices Index Preliminary, this in NOT the core measurement of the Feds inflation - that will released tomorrow.

The US GDP will be closely watched today but I would expect tomorrows PCE and or the Tech earnings today to make or break the week.

Key events:

 

Wednesday
- Data Australia CPI, EU Consumer Confiddence, US GDP
- Earnings: Oversea-Chinese Banking, Holcim, Royal Bank of Canada, TJX Cos, Salesforce, Snowflake, Monster Beverage, Universal Music, Reckitt Benckiser

Thursday
- Data CH FX  Reserves, DE Unemployment Rate, US PCE, Initial Jobless claims 
- Earnings: Alimentation, Anheuser-Busch, CRH, NetEase, Dell Technologies, Autodesk, London Stock Exchange Group

Friday
- Data EU HICP International PMI, NO Nonfarm Payroll

Expiries

Physically Settled Futures

TTFMH4 will expire 27 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

EMAH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

TNH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

UBH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

XCH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

XKH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

XWH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

Z3NH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 10:00 GMT

HGH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

SIH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZBH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZCH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZLH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZMH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZNH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZSH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

ZWH4 will expire 28 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

SBH4 will expire 29 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

 

Expiring CFDs

OILUKAPR24 will expire 29 Feb 2024 at 16:00 GMT

 

Quarterly Outlook

01 /

  • Upending the global order at blinding speed

    Quarterly Outlook

    Upending the global order at blinding speed

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    We are witnessing a once-in-a-lifetime shredding of the global order. As the new order takes shape, ...
    Read full article
  • Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Read full article
  • Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Quarterly Outlook

    Asset allocation outlook: From Magnificent 7 to Magnificent 2,645—diversification matters, now more than ever

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Read full article
  • Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: Commodities rally despite global uncertainty

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Read full article
  • Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    Quarterly Outlook

    Macro outlook: Trump 2.0: Can the US have its cake and eat it, too?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Read full article
  • Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Quarterly Outlook

    Equity Outlook: The ride just got rougher

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Read full article
  • China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Quarterly Outlook

    China Outlook: The choice between retaliation or de-escalation

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Read full article
  • Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Quarterly Outlook

    Commodity Outlook: A bumpy road ahead calls for diversification

    Ole Hansen

    Head of Commodity Strategy

    Read full article
  • FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    Quarterly Outlook

    FX outlook: Tariffs drive USD strength, until...?

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Read full article
  • Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Quarterly Outlook

    Fixed Income Outlook: Bonds Hit Reset. A New Equilibrium Emerges

    Althea Spinozzi

    Head of Fixed Income Strategy

    Read full article

The information on or via the website is provided to you by Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. (“Saxo Bank”) for educational and information purposes only. The information should not be construed as an offer or recommendation to enter into any transaction or any particular service, nor should the contents be construed as advice of any other kind, for example of a tax or legal nature.

All trading carries risk. Loses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Saxo Bank does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information provided and shall not be responsible for any errors or omissions or for any losses or damages resulting from the use of such information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore has not been prepared in accordance with directives designed to promote the independence of financial/investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of financial/investment research.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland
Products & pricing
Platforms
Accounts & service
General
Other
Legal

Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. Please ensure you consult our Risk Warning before you start trading and you understand the risks.

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.