nuclear_ai_header_3x2_under_100KB

The nuclear IPO boom: AI needs electricity, Wall Street smells an opportunity

Equities 5 minutes to read

Key takeaways

  • Holtec joins a growing group of nuclear companies testing public-market appetite, alongside X-energy and Standard Nuclear, while Westinghouse is also exploring a listing.

  • Artificial intelligence strengthens demand for reliable power, but nuclear economics still depend heavily on construction cost and execution.

  • Nuclear stocks offer very different exposures, from operating plants and fuel to equipment suppliers and future reactor developers.


The next artificial intelligence company coming to the stock market does not make chips or software. It makes nuclear equipment.

Holtec Nuclear is scheduled to list on Nasdaq on 18 September 2026, after setting an IPO price range of USD 15 to USD 18 per share that values the company at up to USD 10.2 billion.

Behind the rush sits a simple problem. AI needs computers. Computers need data centres. And data centres need enormous amounts of electricity, preferably every hour of every day.

The International Energy Agency expects global data-centre electricity consumption to roughly double between 2025 and 2030. Suddenly, nuclear’s ability to provide continuous power looks considerably more fashionable.
Nuclear_chart1_under_100KB
Source: Saxo Bank analysis based on International Energy Agency, US Securities and Exchange Commission, company filings.

Nuclear is one theme, but several businesses

Holtec makes the comparison interesting because it is not simply a promise about a future reactor.

The company already makes nuclear components, handles spent fuel and provides decommissioning services. It is also trying to restart the 800-megawatt Palisades plant in Michigan and develop its own small modular reactor (SMR), a smaller reactor designed for more standardised construction.

That puts Holtec somewhere between several existing nuclear investments.

Constellation Energy mainly offers exposure to electricity from operating plants. Cameco sells uranium and owns 49% of Westinghouse, which supplies fuel, equipment and services. GE Vernova participates through nuclear equipment and its BWRX-300 small modular reactor technology. Oklo sits much further towards the development end, where most of the value depends on reactors that still need to be built.

Same nuclear theme. Very different business risks.

For investors, that distinction matters more than the word “nuclear” in the company description. Existing reactors generate electricity today. New-reactor developers first need permits, financing, construction and customers.

The USD 15,000 question

Demand may no longer be nuclear’s biggest problem. Cost is.

The recent US experience is uncomfortable. Research used by the US Department of Energy estimates the construction cost of Vogtle Units 3 and 4 at around USD 15,000 per kilowatt (kW) in 2024 dollars.

Compare that with the Barakah nuclear plant in the United Arab Emirates. Built using South Korean reactor technology and a repeatable four-unit programme, its USD 24.4 billion financing requirement across 5.6 gigawatts works out at roughly USD 4,400 per kW of capacity.

The measures are not perfectly comparable, but the gap tells the important story. Nuclear becomes much cheaper when countries repeat designs, retain skilled workers and maintain functioning supply chains.

Holtec itself targets around USD 7,500 to USD 8,500 per kW for future dual-unit SMR projects in high-cost markets such as the US. That target matters. Delivering it matters considerably more.

Where the story can go wrong

The clearest risk is that nuclear enthusiasm runs ahead of nuclear economics. Rising cost-per-kW estimates, delayed regulatory milestones or repeated requests for additional government funding would be early warning signs.

AI demand can also be real without becoming nuclear demand. Natural gas, renewables, batteries and grid upgrades can arrive faster than new reactors.

Holtec adds a governance wrinkle. Founder-linked entities are expected to retain roughly 99% of the voting power over director elections after the IPO, leaving public shareholders with limited influence.

Investor playbook

  • Separate today from tomorrow. Distinguish existing cash-generating nuclear assets from businesses dependent on future reactor deployment.
  • Follow cost per kilowatt. Falling construction costs and repeat projects matter more than ambitious capacity announcements.
  • Watch contracts and permits. Binding power agreements, regulatory approvals and completed construction milestones provide stronger evidence than non-binding plans.

Electricity first, valuations second

AI may have reopened nuclear’s door to Wall Street, but electricity demand alone does not make reactors economic. The winners will be companies that turn demand into signed contracts, permits, repeatable construction and eventually cash flow.

That is why the most useful nuclear metric may not be megawatts promised, but dollars per kilowatt actually delivered. If the industry moves from Vogtle-style one-off complexity towards Barakah-style repetition, this IPO wave could mark a genuine industrial restart. If costs remain high and timelines keep slipping, investors may discover that AI servers can still be built much faster than reactors.

The electricity shortage is real. Execution will decide who gets paid for solving it.

This content is marketing material.

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank Switzerland and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo Bank Switzerland’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Saxo Bank Switzerland partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conduced on its platform. Additionally, Saxo Bank Switzerland has agreements with certain partners who provide retrocession contingent upon clients purchasing specific products offered by these partners.

While Saxo Bank Switzerland receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.  

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo Bank Switzerland does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore not been prepared in accordance with directives of the Swiss Bankers Association designed to promote the independence of financial research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of the marketing material.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Switzerland
Switzerland

Saxo is part of the J. Safra Sarasin Group.

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.