Summary: Morning APAC Global Macro & Cross-Asset Snapshot
Happy Macro Tue 1 Oct 2019, Wishing Everyone A Phenomenal 4th Quarter
APAC Global Macro Morning Brief
Quick One today folks, reiterating what this wk is ahead… don’t forget RBA is on today & market is expecting 25bp cut…
Plus of course Happy 70yr Anniversary, China not back in until next Tues
Plus also check slides 10 – 11, from this wk’s Macro Monday focusing on the potential implications from the impeachment investigations… will share this last point which is key to get across to clients, as it could potentially be quite the game changer with a -20% to -30% scenario for US equities in 2020
"Still a long way to the Mid Jul 2020, the Democratic nomination for their presidential candidate. One flip-side of all this to be wary of, if Hunter Biden is found to be clearly linked to corruption (which we know was rampant in the previous Ukrainian regime) it could force Joe Biden out of the race, in which case Warren takes nomination & US EQ mkts tank"
Week Ahead:
Other:
The market is trying to get back to the pre-Covid and pre-war times, but that model is broken. A new dawn is here and the financial world needs to adapt.
Steen Jakobsen,
Chief Investment Officer
A political switch in China towards less tough control of its people and companies may kick things back into gear.
Redmond Wong,
Market Strategist
While the economic situation in Europe may not be as bad as feared, there's still a plethora of things to fix.
Chris Dembik,
Head of Macroeconomic Research
As the world turns increasingly bipolar, equity markets face harsh times as they transition into the new reality.
Peter Garnry,
Head of Equity Strategy
New alliances and collaborations outside of China may lead to prosperous times in Asia.
Charu Chanana,
Market Strategist
For years, it was thought that the balanced portfolio was a thing of the past. But recent developments may have changed that.
Peter Siks,
Investment Coach
Following a dramatic and volatile 2022 with good returns, a lot of this year's commodity performance may be driven by Chinese politics.
Ole S. Hansen,
Head of Commodity Strategy
2023 could be a tough year for currencies but EUR and JPY may have some upside.
John J. Hardy,
Head of FX Strategy
The commodity-heavy Australian market may have a good start to 2023, as the Chinese focus on growth signals demand for Aussie resources.
Jessica Amir,
Market Strategist
From a near-perfect environment for speculative assets before 2022 to the opposite, crypto faces fundamental challenges.
Mads Eberhardt,
Cryptocurrency Analyst
