Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
Summary: Big names; Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Nvidia and Tesla have either turned bearish or are drawing top and reversal patterns that are on the brink of confirmation
Apple failed to close the gap from early August and got hammered yesterday. Despite RSI showing positive sentiment down trend is likely to resume with a potential move down to support area around 170-166.
For Apple to close the gap and reverse to uptrend a close above 191.17 is neededMicrosoft (MSFT) is testing the key resistance at around 335.14.
RSI is currently being rejected at the 60 threshold i.e., still in negative sentiment. MSFT could be hit by increased selling pressure towards key strong support at around 312.29. A close below is likely to send MSFT lower towards 295-290 support area.
Amazon AMZN still trading above its medium-term rising trend line but the uptrend is weakening, illustrated by the RSI divergence.
A close below 131 will confirm bearish trend and could ignite a sell-off that could push AMZN down to 126 -120 short-term.
Tesla (TSLA) seems to having trouble closing above the 55 daily Moving Average and push RSI to close above 60 threshold which means the indicator is still in negative sentiment indicating Tesla is likely to resume downtrend shortly.
A downtrend that could take Tesla down to August lows around 214.
A close above 265.10 will demolish the bearish picture instead confirming uptrend that could lift Tesla back to around 300