three

Three winning sectors and one loser from the Australian Federal Budget

Jessica Amir
Market Strategist

Summary:  Watch our three minute video covering the Australian Federal budget winners and losers. From the green transformation sector winning $20 billion in funding, to the building, construction and infrastructure sectors scoring a $10 billion pipeline of projects, to Australia's health and aged care sectors getting over $8 billion in funding. We cover the stocks that may be jagging investor attention. Meanwhile, the Government sees households doing it tough, expecting energy bills to rise 50%, which implies oil, gas, and coal companies will likely continue to garner investor attention.

Winner one; The green transformation sector. $20b will to be put toward helping Australia’s transition to net zero. Funding will going toward recently commenced projects on windfarms in Victoria and Tasmania, while also delivering cheaper infrastructure loans for renewable energy projects. Investors might like to look at companies in lithium, rare earths, hydrogen and uranium. Companies to watch might include Pilbara Minerals, Allkem, Lynas and Iluka.  

Winner number two; building, construction and infrastructure. The government will establish a $10b housing Australia future fund, to provide 20k new social housing dwellings. On a bigger scale, The National Housing Accord plans to build 1 million new homes over 5 years, starting mid-2024. Plus, the government will allow eligible people to buy a house with a smaller deposit. Investors might like to look at stocks in the sector that could benefit, including Transurban, Adbri, CIMIC, as well as  banks which may benefit from housing polices, including CBA, ANZ, NAB, WBC, as well as SUN, BOQ, BEN.

Winner number three; the health care and aged care sectors. The Government will spend $6.1b on hospitals, and extending COVID-19 support measures, so it’s worth watching companies in the sector including Sonic Health Care, ResMed, Healius, Australian Clinical Labs and Ramsay Health. On top of that $2.5b will be spent on improving aged care facilities and staffing issues. So keep an eye on aged care providers Regis, Estia and Japara.

The biggest loser is anyone paying an power bill, with energy prices likely to rise 50% over the next two years according to the Federal Government, as Australia is running short of energy. For some investors and traders, this offer opportunity. But for consumers, sadly it means more pain is to come. The Government's forecast follows a separate warning from an energy regulator, cautioning that energy prices will rise 50% in 2023 alone, as Australia is set to run short of supply. So it’s worth watching oil, gas, LNG and coal companies given profit margins are likely to rise. You might like to keep an eye on Woodside, WorleyParsons, Viva Energy, Ampol in oil and gas. And in coal New Hope and Whitehaven Coal. And for the energy sector, it’s worth watching ETFs like iShares Global Energy ETF (IXC) and Global The Energy Sector Fund (XLE).






For a global look at markets – tune into our Podcast.



 

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Outrageous Predictions

    Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Outrageous Predictions

    China unleashes CNY 50 trillion stimulus to reflate its economy

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Having created history’s most epic debt bubble, China boldly bets that fiscal stimulus to the tune o...

Content disclaimer

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank A/S and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

Please refer to our full disclaimer and notification on non-independent investment research for more details.

Saxo Bank A/S (Headquarters)
Philip Heymans Alle 15
2900 Hellerup
Denmark

Contact Saxo

Select region

International
International

All trading and investing comes with risk, including but not limited to the potential to lose your entire invested amount.

Information on our international website (as selected from the globe drop-down) can be accessed worldwide and relates to Saxo Bank A/S as the parent company of the Saxo Bank Group. Any mention of the Saxo Bank Group refers to the overall organisation, including subsidiaries and branches under Saxo Bank A/S. Client agreements are made with the relevant Saxo entity based on your country of residence and are governed by the applicable laws of that entity's jurisdiction.

Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google LLC.