Balanced ETF portfolios Q2 2019 commentary
|Asset classes||Stocks, bonds, non-traditional|
|Investment style||Macro, diversified investment focus|
|Quarterly return (net of fees)|
Markets closed the second quarter (Q2) of 2019 with yet another rally in stocks and credit assets across the globe. This was the result of increasingly supportive tone of central banks in June, which indicates further monetary support is a very likely option of the economic situation across regions and leading economies continues to deteriorate. Major geopolitical tensions, such as the China-US trade negotiations, remain mainly unsolved. As a result, markets are now expecting rate cuts by the end of this year.
On the stock market side, European stock markets performed the strongest in Q2 and were closely followed by the US. Further economic stimulus indicated by the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank was a key contributor to this rally. Emerging market performance, however, was close to flat and was potentially influenced by the negative performance in most Asian stock markets. This, in turn, was driven by uncertainties linked to the Chinese economy.
Global bond markets also rallied as a result of comments made by the various central banks. European and US treasuries rallied and the 10 year US treasury yield has fallen back to 2% at the end of June. Similar is the performance of other fixed income assets including global investment grade credit as well as high yield.
|Returns net of fees||Defensive||Moderate||Aggressive|
|Since Inception (August 2015)||+10.4%||+22.0%||+30.6%|
The Balanced portfolios ended the second quarter with solid positive returns which is in line with global market movements. Allocations across all asset classes have contributed positively to this result, where negative performance in May was made up by the rallies in April and June.
Performance was predominantly driven by our allocations to US and European stock markets. On the fixed income side, exposure to corporate bonds also contributed to this overall positive result.
Into Q3, the stock market exposure has been increased slightly compared to fixed income to reflect attractive valuations and positive market sentiment.
Within stocks, BlackRock maintains and overall positive view on the US, with increased exposure. The BlackRock view is to keep exposure via US minimum volatility stocks because (US minimum volatility) remains attractive whilst adding some resilience. This was delivered by reducing Pacific and Japan exposures.
On the fixed income side, the strategies continue to prefer US credit and US high yield. In the case of EM debt, the signals has slightly improved. As a result, the overweight to US corporate bonds and US high yield bonds remain, and the underweight in Emerging Market debt is reduced. Within government bonds, the strategies maintain their strong underweight to longer dated US treasury bonds.