Gold/Silver ratio at a pivotal level. Which precious metal will make the move Gold/Silver ratio at a pivotal level. Which precious metal will make the move Gold/Silver ratio at a pivotal level. Which precious metal will make the move

Gold/Silver ratio at a pivotal level. Which precious metal will make the move

Gold 5 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Gold is struggling to resume uptrend hitting resistance. Silver testing long term Bull/Bear pivot level around $21.35. Gold/Silver forming symmetrical triangle corrective pattern, break out could be imminent.

Gold spot (XAUUSD)
is trading in a slightly rising trend hitting resistance at the 61.8% retracement of the November sell-off at around USD 1.830/oz. RSI showing bullish sentiment and no divergence indicates Gold is likely to penetrate the resistance.
A break below USD 1.782 could ignite further selling down to around 1.725

Source: Saxo Group

On the bigger picture on weekly time period Gold seemed to have been range bound between 1.668 and 1.900 but is now trading in a more and more narrow band forming what looks like a Symmetrical triangle. No clear direction but RSI in bullish sentiment indicates break out could be to the upside and imminent.

Source: Saxo Group

Silver spot (XAGUSD) seems to run out of steam before even testing resistance at around USD23.45/oz. The precious metal needs to break above the resistance to get upside momentum.
RSI is still showing negative momentum and needs to close above 60 to reverse that.

Source: Saxo Group

On weekly time periods Silver seems to be forming a Descending triangle like pattern with strong support at around USD 21.65/oz.
If Silver breaks above short term resistance at around USD21.45/oz the falling trend line in the triangle is likely to be tested. Strong resistance at around USD 25/oz

Source: Saxo Group

Zooming out a bit further on Silver we can see that price level around USD21.35 seems to be pivotal for up or down trend. Currently price is hovering around above the “Pivot” line. Strong support at USD13.65 and strong resistance around USD30. The underlying sentiment is bullish with both 55 and 200 monthly SMA’s rising and RSI showing bullish sentiment indicating next move could be in upwards direction. But keep an eye on the “pivot” line

Source: Saxo Group

The Gold/Silver Ratio (XAUXAG) seems to be forming a corrective symmetrical triangle on the short term daily time period. With RSI being bullish and no divergence break out direction is indicated to be up.

Source: Saxo Group

If that scenario plays out XAUXAG keeps it medium term rising trend as illustrated on the weekly time period where the ratio seems to be trading in a rising channel. Strong resistance at around USD 82.40. A level that seems to be a bull/bear pivot similar to what can be seen on Silver spot.

Source: Saxo Group

Quarterly Outlook 2024 Q3

Sandcastle economics

01 / 05

  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.

    Read article
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain inflation and evolving monetary policies.

    Read article
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynamics echo 2021's rally.

    Read article
  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperform in Q3 2024.

    Read article
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities in Q3 2024.

    Read article
Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
- Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/en-mena/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)


Business Hills Park – Building 4,
4th Floor, office 401, Dubai Hills Estate, P.O. Box 33641, Dubai, UAE

Contact Saxo

Select region

UAE
UAE

Trade responsibly
All trading carries risk. Read more. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. Read more

Saxo Bank A/S is licensed by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority and operates in the UAE under a representative office license issued by the Central bank of the UAE.

The content and material made available on this website and the linked sites are provided by Saxo Bank A/S. It is the sole responsibility of the recipient to ascertain the terms of and comply with any local laws or regulation to which they are subject.

The UAE Representative Office of Saxo Bank A/S markets the Saxo Bank A/S trading platform and the products offered by Saxo Bank A/S.