Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
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Technical Update - USDJPY and EURJPY: Potential Resurgence Despite Recent Sell-offs
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
USDJPY was hit by heavy selling just before reaching the 0.618 retracement of the end-April sell-off at 157.05. A correction has taken the pair down to the 0.618 of the rebound that followed at 153.74.
The strength indicator RSI is still showing positive sentiment with no divergence, indicating USDJPY is likely to resume its bullish trend with upside potential to 158.46. If USDJPY drops below this morning's lows at 153.60, it could fall to the 0.786 retracement at 152.91. The 55 daily moving average is rising just below and is adding to the support.
If USDJPY closes below 151.85, the entire bullish trend has reversed.
EURJPY, after breaking above the 0.618 retracement, was hit by heavy selling at 169.40, which seems to be strong resistance. EURJPY has found support at the 0.382 retracement at 167.35 and could very well resume its uptrend.
RSI is still showing positive sentiment with no divergence, supporting higher EURJPY levels than 169.40.
A break below 167.35 is likely to fuel another sell-off down to the 0.618 retracement
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