Macro: Sandcastle economics
Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
EURCHF key resistance at around 0.9840 could soon be tested once again. The resistance level goes back to June 2023 and has over the past couple of months been tested twice. EURCHF has been rejected every single time. But maybe this time it could break it? A close above could fuel a new rally higher towards the 0.786 retracement of the entire bearish trend since Q1 2023 at 0.9917 – see weekly chart
However a spike up to 1.00 could be seen, and there is no strong resistance until around 1.0050-1.010.
The daily moving averages are all rising indicating underlying bullish trend sentiment. The RSI is showing positive sentiment but with divergence. But if RSI is closing back above the 60 threshold EURCHF is likely to break the 0.9840 resistance
A daily close below 0.9675 could very likely see EURCHF staying below this time if occurring and not just spiking lower like 19th April. If that scenario plays out a sell-off down to strong support at around 0.9560 would be likely.
First indication of that scenario playing out is likely to be if RSI is closing below its lower rising trendline