Quarterly Outlook
Equity outlook: The high cost of global fragmentation for US portfolios
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Chief Investment Strategist
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Technical Update - FTSE100 still above key support. FTSE250 Mid Cap found support on lower levels.
Equities 2 minutes to read
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank
FTSE100 bounced from above key support at 6,788 where Mid Caps are depressed and have lost 60% of post-Covid uptrend finding support at lower levels. But can the supports hold? Check out the technical picture
FTSE 100 bounced from key support at around 6,788. Short-term there is divergence on RSI indicating the bounce could move, higher possibly to 7,250. First indication of that scenario to play out could be RSI breaking above its upper falling trendline.
However, the medium-term trend is down (see weekly chart) and if key support at 6,788 is taken out FTSE could drop to the strong support area at 6,484-6,397.
Weekly RSI below 40 supports the bearish outlook.
FTSE 250 Mid Cap Index reached and the 1.764 projection of the September sell-off before rebounding from key support at 16,707
FTSE250 has now retraced 0.618 of the entire uptrend since 2020 trough.
Weekly RSI shows divergence but if the Mid Cap Index drops below last week’s low at 16,650 a sell-off down to next support at around 15,194 is likely.
Short term if FTSE250 breaks above 17,823 the bounce could extend to 18,288-18,428.
For FTSE 250 to reverse this bear trend a close above 19,615 is minimum requirement.
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