Boeing, Brexit and bounces
Head of Editorial Content, Saxo Bank
Summary: The crash of an Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737 MAX has sent the company's shares down 9.7% as aviation authorities in several countries grounded future flights of the aircraft. In the FX space, meanwhile, the day's trading has a singular focus: Brexit.
Before the accident, the stock was considered a strong “buy” by analysts with a consensus target price of $454.50. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has turned early losses into gains as of 14:30 GMT but is lagging the moves in the S&P 500 (+0.49%) and NASDAQ (+0.34%).
Brexit headlines have played ping-pong with GBPUSD. Prices have traded erratically in a 1.3006-1.3151 range since the New York open. A spokesman for Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Partysaid it wouldn’t back the latest plan because “sufficient progress” has not been achieved. UK Attorney General Geoffrey Cox said the legal risk “remains unchanged” but recommended MPs vote for the deal. The debate in Parliament is ranging, and GBPUSD is bouncing in a 1.3090-1.3140 range.
WTI oil prices are continuing this week’s slow grind higher, although today’s price action has been choppy. WTI bounced in a $56.90-$57.50/barrel range since the New York open. Prices are underpinned by news that the senior US and Chinese trade representative are still talking, and that overall trade talks are progressing.
The oil price rally has put downward pressure on USDCAD which has slipped from its New York opening level of 1.3402 to a low of 1.3372. However, losses may be limited to support in the 1.3270-1.3340 area.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.