Podcast: Quiet before the storm as commodity pressures mount
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at equities staging a rebound on the back of Friday's strong economic data in the US and Russian retreat across the entire Northern front line in the war in Ukraine setting the war up for the "battle of Donbass" over the next month. The unfolding food and energy crisis is becoming tough for frontier economies and Sri Lanka is right now the canary in the coal mine with food shortages and a collapsing equity market. We also talk about the risks to Europe's energy markets as Russia continues to demand to be paid in RUB for oil and gas breaching contracts with European importers. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities and Ole Hansen on commodities.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.