Technical Update - Top and Reversal Signs in SP 500 and Nasdaq 100: Will the Correction Be Shallow or Deep? Technical Update - Top and Reversal Signs in SP 500 and Nasdaq 100: Will the Correction Be Shallow or Deep? Technical Update - Top and Reversal Signs in SP 500 and Nasdaq 100: Will the Correction Be Shallow or Deep?

Technical Update - Top and Reversal Signs in SP 500 and Nasdaq 100: Will the Correction Be Shallow or Deep?

Equities 2 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

The S&P 500 index formed a bearish engulfing top and reversal-like pattern on Thursday, taking out the previous two days of index gains. A correction is now in the cards.

The strength indicator RSI, which is showing positive sentiment and no divergence (i.e., not indicating uptrend exhaustion), suggests that this is merely a correction rather than a trend reversal. However, the correction could test the gap area between 5,501 and 5,455.

A daily close below 5,455 could lead to further selling down to support at around 5,375.

A daily close above yesterday’s high at 5,644 will cancel the top and reversal pattern and instead extend the bullish move. A test of all-time highs could then be in the cards.
Source all charts: Saxo Group
US500 CFD Levels:
A correction down to the 0.382 retracement at 5,430 is possible, with strong support at 5,403.
A break above 5,643 is very likely to extend the bullish trend towards all-time highs.
The Nasdaq 100 also formed a bearish engulfing top and reversal-like pattern on Thursday, taking out the previous three days of bullish moves.
The Nasdaq 100 closed below the support at 19,522, so despite RSI still showing positive sentiment, a correction could hit the Index.
A bearish move down to around 19,000 could be seen.

However, the 55 daily Moving Average is still rising, meaning the correction could be limited.
Key strong support is at around 18,768–18,654.

If the Nasdaq 100 closes above Thursday’s high at 19,393, the top and reversal pattern will be invalidated, and the bullish move is likely to be extended, challenging strong resistance at around 20,211 and possibly reaching all-time highs

USNAS100 cfd levels: a correction down to 0.382 retracement and support at 18,900 could be occur.

The rising 100 daily Moving Average will add to the support.

A close above 19,934 will extend the bullish move with resistance at around 20,219

Quarterly Outlook 2024 Q3

Sandcastle economics

01 / 05

  • Macro: Sandcastle economics

    Invest wisely in Q3 2024: Discover SaxoStrats' insights on navigating a stable yet fragile global economy.

    Read article
  • Bonds: What to do until inflation stabilises

    Discover strategies for managing bonds as US and European yields remain rangebound due to uncertain inflation and evolving monetary policies.

    Read article
  • Equities: Are we blowing bubbles again

    Explore key trends and opportunities in European equities and electrification theme as market dynamics echo 2021's rally.

    Read article
  • FX: Risk-on currencies to surge against havens

    Explore the outlook for USD, AUD, NZD, and EM carry trades as risk-on currencies are set to outperform in Q3 2024.

    Read article
  • Commodities: Energy and grains in focus as metals pause

    Energy and grains to shine as metals pause. Discover key trends and market drivers for commodities in Q3 2024.

    Read article

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Analysis permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website. This content is not intended to and does not change or expand on the execution-only service. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Saxo News & Research and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Saxo News & Research is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Saxo News & Research or as a result of the use of the Saxo News & Research. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. Saxo News & Research does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws.

Please read our disclaimers:
Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (https://www.home.saxo/legal/niird/notification)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/disclaimer/saxo-disclaimer)
Full disclaimer (https://www.home.saxo/legal/saxoselect-disclaimer/disclaimer)

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Select region

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.