AI_financing_header_3x2_under_100KB

From Nvidia to Wall Street: who pays for the AI buildout?

Equities 5 minutes to read

Key takeaways

  • AI’s next bottleneck may be capital as infrastructure spending outruns what technology companies want to fund alone.

  • CoreWeave tests whether enormous contracted demand can translate into better cash economics as new capacity comes online.

  • Follow the AI dollar: chipmakers, cloud operators and financiers can grow quickly, but their returns may differ sharply.


Artificial intelligence (AI) keeps moving its bottlenecks. First, advanced chips were scarce. Then data-centre space, electricity and networking joined the queue. Now money is becoming harder to ignore.

On 10 August 2026, Nvidia announced partnerships with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to create financing platforms designed to mobilise more than 500 billion USD of third-party capital for AI infrastructure. This is not Nvidia writing a 500 billion USD cheque. It is an attempt to make computing infrastructure easier for outside investors to finance.

CoreWeave reports second-quarter results on 11 August after the US market closes, making it a useful live test. The specialist AI cloud company rents powerful computing infrastructure. Demand is enormous. The harder question is what it costs to serve it.

Wall Street joins the server room

Nvidia’s move shows how the AI cycle is changing. Graphics processing units (GPUs) need buildings, power, cooling and networking before customers can use them.

The money therefore travels through a long chain: capital into data centres, then Nvidia chips and networking, then cloud capacity sold to AI developers and enterprises. Every layer can grow, but the economics differ.

Cheaper financing can help Nvidia customers build more infrastructure using its technology. Financiers can earn fees and interest. Cloud operators face a different burden: spend heavily today, then depend on utilisation and pricing to make those assets profitable tomorrow.

CoreWeave turns demand into a financing question

CoreWeave’s first quarter shows why revenue growth is an incomplete scorecard. Revenue more than doubled to 2.08 billion USD and contracted backlog reached 99.4 billion USD. Yet it spent 7.7 billion USD on property and equipment, carried roughly 24.9 billion USD of debt and recorded 536 million USD of net interest expense.

For 2026, CoreWeave has indicated capital spending of roughly 31 billion to 35 billion USD, more than double 2025 levels. That spending creates value only if customers use the capacity, contracts turn into revenue on schedule and financing does not absorb too much profit.

This is where return on invested capital (ROIC) helps. It asks how much operating profit a business produces from the money tied up in it. Booming revenue can still disappoint shareholders if every extra unit of growth requires even more capital.

Five words matter in tonight’s results: demand, capacity, capital, cash and concentration. Is backlog becoming revenue? Is new capacity filling quickly? Is financing becoming cheaper? Is cash generation improving? How much depends on a few large customers?

The same bill arrives in different envelopes

CoreWeave is not alone. Nebius, another AI cloud provider, raised 775 million USD in secured debt on 17 July, backed by GPU infrastructure and contracted cash flows. Super Micro Computer, which builds AI servers, announced up to 7 billion USD of equity and equity-linked financing in June to fund components for its order book.

The structures differ, but the lesson is similar: rapid demand can consume cash before it generates it.

Risks: when the maths stops cooperating

Three risks matter most. First, utilisation or pricing could weaken if capacity grows faster than demand. Watch backlog conversion and margins. Second, financing costs could stay high. Rising interest expense or repeated capital raises are warning signs. Third, hardware improves quickly. If older GPUs lose economic value faster than expected, replacement spending can erode returns.

Investor playbook

  • Compare capital spending with revenue and margin progress, not revenue growth alone.
  • Watch backlog conversion. Contracts matter most when they become utilised capacity and cash.
  • Separate technology suppliers, infrastructure owners and financiers. Their economics can diverge sharply.
  • Stress-test customer concentration and hardware cycles before extrapolating today’s demand.

The bill becomes part of the story

The AI race started as a scramble for chips. It became a race for data centres, power and networks. Nvidia’s new Wall Street partnerships show that capital is now becoming part of the infrastructure itself. CoreWeave, Nebius and Supermicro show why: extraordinary demand can require extraordinary funding long before the cash economics mature.

For investors, the useful question is therefore no longer simply who is building the most AI capacity. It is who can turn that capacity into durable cash returns without continually asking lenders or shareholders to refill the tank. In the next phase of AI, scale will matter. So will the return on every dollar used to build it.

This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

The Author, Ruben Dalfovo, owns positions in Brookfield Asset Management.

Outrageous Predictions 2026

01 /

  • Switzerland's Green Revolution: CHF 30 Billion Initiative by 2050

    Outrageous Predictions

    Switzerland's Green Revolution: CHF 30 Billion Initiative by 2050

    Katrin Wagner

    Head of Investment Content Switzerland

    Switzerland launches a CHF 30 billion energy revolution by 2050, rivaling Lindt & Sprüngli's market ...
  • The Swiss Fortress – 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    The Swiss Fortress – 2026

    Erik Schafhauser

    Senior Relationship Manager

    Swiss voters reject EU ties, boosting the Swiss Franc and sparking Switzerland's "Souveränität Zuers...
  • Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Outrageous Predictions

    Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026

    Saxo Group

    Saxo Group

    Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
  • A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Outrageous Predictions

    A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi...
  • Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan

    Charu Chanana

    Chief Investment Strategist

    Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral...
  • Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Outrageous Predictions

    Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up

    Jacob Falkencrone

    Global Head of Investment Strategy

    Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril...
  • Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Outrageous Predictions

    Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance

    Neil Wilson

    Investor Content Strategist

    A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash...
  • SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    Outrageous Predictions

    SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-...
  • Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    Outrageous Predictions

    Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w...
  • Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    Outrageous Predictions

    Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly

    John J. Hardy

    Global Head of Macro Strategy

    In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...

This content is marketing material.

None of the information provided on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or endorsement to buy or sell any financial instrument, nor is it financial, investment, or trading advice. Saxo Bank Switzerland and its entities within the Saxo Bank Group provide execution-only services, with all trades and investments based on self-directed decisions. Analysis, research, and educational content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice nor a recommendation.

Saxo Bank Switzerland’s content may reflect the personal views of the author, which are subject to change without notice. Mentions of specific financial products are for illustrative purposes only and may serve to clarify financial literacy topics. Content classified as investment research is marketing material and does not meet legal requirements for independent research.

Saxo Bank Switzerland partners with companies that provide compensation for promotional activities conduced on its platform. Additionally, Saxo Bank Switzerland has agreements with certain partners who provide retrocession contingent upon clients purchasing specific products offered by these partners.

While Saxo Bank Switzerland receives compensation from these partnerships, all educational and research content remains focused on providing information to clients.  

Before making any investment decisions, you should assess your own financial situation, needs, and objectives, and consider seeking independent professional advice. Saxo Bank Switzerland does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information provided and assumes no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages resulting from the use of this information.

The content of this website represents marketing material and is not the result of financial analysis or research. It has therefore not been prepared in accordance with directives of the Swiss Bankers Association designed to promote the independence of financial research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of the marketing material.

Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
The Circle 38
CH-8058
Zürich-Flughafen
Switzerland

Contact Saxo

Switzerland
Switzerland

All trading carries risk. Losses can exceed deposits on margin products. You should consider whether you understand how our products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. To help you understand the risks involved we have put together a general Risk Warning series of Key Information Documents (KIDs) highlighting the risks and rewards related to each product. The KIDs can be accessed within the trading platform. Please note that the full prospectus can be obtained free of charge from Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or the issuer.

This website can be accessed worldwide however the information on the website is related to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. All clients will directly engage with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and all client agreements will be entered into with Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. and thus governed by Swiss Law. 

The content of this website represents marketing material and has not been notified or submitted to any supervisory authority.

If you contact Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. or visit this website, you acknowledge and agree that any data that you transmit to Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., either through this website, by telephone or by any other means of communication (e.g. e-mail), may be collected or recorded and transferred to other Saxo Bank Group companies or third parties in Switzerland or abroad and may be stored or otherwise processed by them or Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. You release Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. from its obligations under Swiss banking and securities dealer secrecies and, to the extent permitted by law, data protection laws as well as other laws and obligations to protect privacy. Saxo Bank (Switzerland) Ltd. has implemented appropriate technical and organizational measures to protect data from unauthorized processing and disclosure and applies appropriate safeguards to guarantee adequate protection of such data.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc.