Earnings Watch: The big US tech show
Head of Equity Strategy
Summary: The Q1 earnings season is getting serious next week with earnings from Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta which not only be important for the overall equity market, but especially sentiment on technology stocks as preliminary data suggest that technology companies are seeing a less impact on margins compared to MSCI World. On Friday we get important earnings from Exxon Mobil and Chevron were hopefully both oil majors will increase their capex for 2022.
Can Nasdaq 100 solidify its minimal impact on margins?
The Q1 earnings season kicks into its highest gear next week with earnings releases from the major US technology/consumer companies with the heavyweights such as Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Meta, Apple and Amazon stealing the show. Outside the technology and consumer sectors, the Friday’s earnings releases from Exxon Mobil and Chevron are important for tracking capex plans for 2022 because the world economy desperately needs more investments in energy.
The preliminary data on Q1 earnings show that net profit margins are rolling over in the S&P 500 and MSCI World while holding up for the Nasdaq 100. This is a key thing to watch next week when the major US technology companies are reporting earnings, because profit margin insulation for technology amid galloping inflation could be a game changer for sentiment on the US technology sector. EPS growth in Q1 q/q is also only positive right now for Nasdaq 100 while down for the MSCI World and S&P 500. While profit margin insulation for technology companies could become the new hot topic and what drives a comeback for technology stocks, the opposite force at play are rapidly tightening financial conditions and discount rate on cash flows.
One thing is for sure, we are in for a very exciting next week as there are also mounting pressures coming from the strengthening USD and more bottlenecks in our global supply chain due to lockdowns in China.
The list below shows the most important earnings releases out of the almost 600 earnings releases next week in the earnings universe we cover.
- Monday: Deutsche Boerse, Philips, Coca-Cola, Activision Blizzard, Cadence
- Tuesday: Kweichow Moutai, Ganfeng Lithium, First Quantum Minerals, Tryg, FANUC, Canon, HSBC, Banco Santander, Iberdrola, Atlas Copco, Novartis, UBS Group, Kuehne + Nagel, Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, PepsiCo, UPS, Texas Instruments, Raytheon Technologies, General Electric, Mondelez, Chubb, 3M
- Wednesday: LONGi Green Energy, Teck Resources, DSV, Novozymes, Kone, Dassault Systemes, STMicroelectronics, Deutsche Bank, BYD, China Shenhua Energy, China Petroleum & Chemical, UniCredit, Keyence, GlaxoSmithKline, Lloyds Banking Group, Yara International, Iberdrola, Assa Abloy, SEB, Credit Suisse, Meta, Qualcomm, Amgen, Boeing, PayPal, ServiceNow, Ford, Southern Copper
- Thursday: Nokia, Sanofi, TotalEnergies, Denso, Hitachi, Barclays, Nordea, Apple, Amazon, Mastercard, Eli Lilly, Thermo Fisher, Merck, Comcast, Intel, McDonald’s, Linde, Caterpillar, Hershey, Twitter
- Friday: ICBC, China Yangtze Power, Midea Group, WuXi AppTec, TC Energy, Imperial Oil, Orsted, Neste Danske Bank, BASF, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, Ping An Insurance, COSCO Shipping, Eni, AstraZeneca, BBVA, Hexagon, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AbbVie, Bristol-Myers, Honeywell, Colgate-Palmolive
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.