Podcast: Rate expectations near cycle low ahead of US CPI
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at a very quiet market, but with the general sense that investors are holding their breath for next week's FOMC meeting, where despite all of the inflation talk and signs of a white-hot US economy and massive demand for labor, the Fed rate expectations are pegged near multi-month lows. For crude oil, we look at factors completely outside of fundamentals that could be helping the oil market rally here as both Brent and WTI have posted new highs for the cycle. Much more on the call, including the much cloudier fiscal outlook in the US. On today's pod were Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.