Infographic: What a 'hard Brexit' really means
Senior Editor, Saxo Bank
Summary: The UK government is fracturing over its apparent inability to put together a Brexit 'deal' that will satisfy both Brussels and Brexiteers. What this means, of course, is that the prospect of a 'hard Brexit' – that is, a 'no-deal' departure from the European Union – is growing increasingly likely.
Such an event would raise enormous difficulties, and these would not just be limited to the sphere of politics and economics. A hard Brexit, in fact, would make itself felt everywhere from the supermarket to the football pitch as excise duties soar and exchange with the Continent withers.
While Brexit's fate is in the hands of politicians and negotiators, how you choose to navigate these choppy waters is not. For investors looking to protect their portfolios, for instance, a variety of strategies are available. But before deciding how you might deal with a "no-deal" scenario, it's important to know what it could mean.
Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook Q3 2022: The Runaway Train
- Winter is coming to the financial markets as central banks are tightening their grip. How spring will look is still a question.
European energy crisis: it will get worse before it gets betterThe winter in Europe will be tough, but whether the result is political chaos or sustainable, innovative solutions is still undecided.
A difficult and volatile quarter awaitsAs the year draws to an end, commodities continue to be at centre stage of the world with growth pockets political uncertainty.
The bright side: crises drive innovationThe positive spin on crises is that they come with solutions. It is worrisome that deglobalisation may be a response to this crisis.
Green transformation in China: renewable energy and beyondGoing green, China needs to span numerous energy sources to ensure stability, as every source comes with a challenge.
Asia: Intermittent solutions, but a faster renewable adoption curveAsian energy supply is being squeezed. This and the adoption of renewables may change the investment sentiment in the region.
FX: A Fed thaw needed to deliver a sustained USD turn lowerThe US Dollar can keep momentum when the Federal Reserve continues to tighten, leaving the rest to play to their drum.
Autumn can become ugly for equities and bond holders. Comfort for Dollar longsTechnical analysis suggests that equities could face a tough Q4 as could fixed income. US Dollar positions could provide some upside.
The next stock market sector to watch, with stocks going nuclearAs the world scrambles to find affordable, sustainable energy, nuclear is getting attention from politicians and investors alike.
The crypto space is getting cold when the hype disappearsCryptocurrencies face a winter of their own as retail investors and governments are asking tough questions.