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Crypto Update: China bans as market rises Crypto Update: China bans as market rises Crypto Update: China bans as market rises

Crypto Update: China bans as market rises

Cryptocurrencies
Jacob Pouncey

Cryptocurrency analyst, Saxo Bank

This week the entire crypto market cap rose 7% to over $230 billion. Bitcoin rose by 6%,and Ethereum increased by 3% this week. The market is up from a bounce at the $6,000 level. However, the general trend is still to the downside making this uptrend little more than another dead cat bounce. The bulls must defend their recent gains to confirm a short-term uptrend.

Sanctioned countries looking at cryptocurrencies for relief

Iran announced the details of its central bank digital currency backed by the rial to avoid the further sanctions. The central bank digital currency is built on top of the Hyperledger Fabric. The currency will first serve as infrastructure for interbank payments and then be made available for retail payments. Currently, there have been no successful launches of a government-supported digital currencies, although Iran and Venezuela are pursuing such initiatives. The success of their programmes could accelerate blockchain adoption, while failure could slow government-specific adoption.

China bans cryptocurrency again

China’s largest social media chat app, WeChat, shut down cryptocurrency-related public accounts from the app last week. Some speculate that accounts will be reinstated at a later time. However, China also banned all blockchain-related conferences and meetups in Beijing. This is the latest Chinese crypto ban. The People's Bank of China has tried banning various activities related to cryptocurrency since early 2017. The market has become increasingly immune to negative news coming out of China regarding cryptocurrency.

SEC reviews rejection

Last week the US Securities and Exchange Commission rejected seven proposed Bitcoin ETFs. This leaves only one ETF left in the running for approval, which is set to be decided at the end of September or as late as February 2019. However, the SEC has announced that it will review the decisions of the staff to disapprove of the seven ETFs. A majority vote by the commission could lead to a reversal of the decision to deny the ETFs, or at least further clarify the SEC’s stance on the emerging asset class.
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    Markets are driven by election optimism, overshadowing growing debt and liquidity concerns. The 2024 elections loom large, but economic fundamentals and debt issues warrant cautious investment.

    Read article

  • FX: The rate cut race shifts into high gear

    As US economic slowdown hints at a shift away from exceptionalism, USD faces downside with looming Fed cuts. AUD and NZD set to outperform as their rate cuts lag. JPY gains on carry unwind bets and BOJ pivot.

    Read article

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    Amid AI and obesity drug excitement, equities see varied prospects: neutral on overvalued US stocks, negative on Japan due to JPY risks, positive on Europe. European defence stocks gain appeal.

    Read article

  • Fixed income: Keep calm, seize the moment

    With the economic slowdown, quality assets will gain favour, especially sovereign bonds up to 5 years. Central banks' potential rate cuts in Q2 suggest extending duration, despite policy and inflation concerns.

    Read article

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    Commodities poised for rebound. The "Year of the Metal" boosts gold and silver, copper awaits rate cuts. Grains may recover, natural gas stabilises. Gold targets $2,300-$2,500/oz, copper's breakout could signal growth.

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