Technical Update - US 10-year Treasury yields and Future. EuroBund future Technical Update - US 10-year Treasury yields and Future. EuroBund future Technical Update - US 10-year Treasury yields and Future. EuroBund future

Technical Update - US 10-year Treasury yields and Future. EuroBund future

Bonds 3 minutes to read
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

3.50% is key level for US 10-year Treasury Yields. 114 /32 is the key level for the future.
EuroBund rejected at key resistance and could resume downtrend


US 10-years Treasury Yields are short-term in a downtrend having reached 0.382 retracement of the July to October uptrend and the 1.764 projection target of the last upwards move in what looks like double top pattern. RSI below 40 supporting this bearish picture.

3.50% is key support! However, US 10-year yields could test and bounce from 3.56 which is the low from October correction and 2.00 Projection target of the Double top like pattern.
Measured from the height of the double top pattern the yields have reached 1.618 projection at 3.63%.

If yields start to pick up and closes back above 4% the uptrend is likely to resume and previous highs are likely to be targeted.

Source all charts and data: Saxo Group
Below the US 10-year Treasury Note future. 114 8/32 is key. A close above is likely to support further buying towards 117. Trend is currently up supported by RSI and could continue to test strong resistance at around 113 30/-114 7/32.
If the future slides back and closes below 11 27/32 it is back in bear mode.  

EuroBund future has followed the pattern outlined in previous Technical Update (the corrective arrows) but has been rejected at 142.62 resistance at first attempt. Whether it will have another go remains to be seen. If Bund future is breaking and closing above 142.62 a move to around 147.50 is in the cards.

If the future slides back below the neckline the Inverted (complex) Shoulder-Head-Shoulder like pattern is likely to be busted. That scenario will be confirmed if the future closes below 138.26, – that could lead to a test of October lows  .


Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited prepares and distributes information/research produced within the Saxo Bank Group for informational purposes only. In addition to the disclaimer below, if any general advice is provided, such advice does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the appropriateness of trading any financial instrument as trading can result in losses that exceed your initial investment. Please refer to our Analysis Disclaimer, and our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement. All legal documentation and disclaimers can be found at

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service. Access and use of Saxo News & Research and any Saxo Bank Group website are subject to (i) the Terms of Use; (ii) the full Disclaimer; and (iii) the Risk Warning in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group.

Saxo News & Research is provided for informational purposes, does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of our trading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. No Saxo Bank Group entity shall be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information on Saxo News & Research.

To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, such content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication.

None of the information contained here constitutes an offer to purchase or sell a financial instrument, or to make any investments.Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information nor for any loss arising from any investment made in reliance of this presentation. Any opinions made are subject to change and may be personal to the author. These may not necessarily reflect the opinion of Saxo Capital Markets or its affiliates.

Please read our disclaimers:
- Full Disclaimer (
- Analysis Disclaimer (
- Notification on Non-Independent Investment Research (

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited
Suite 1, Level 14, 9 Castlereagh St
Sydney NSW 2000

Contact Saxo

Select region


The Saxo trading platform has received numerous awards and recognition. For details of these awards and information on awards visit

Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Limited ABN 32 110 128 286 AFSL 280372 (‘Saxo’ or ‘Saxo Capital Markets’) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Saxo Bank A/S, headquartered in Denmark. Please refer to our General Business Terms, Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination to consider whether acquiring or continuing to hold financial products is suitable for you, prior to opening an account and investing in a financial product.

Trading in financial instruments carries various risks, and is not suitable for all investors. Please seek expert advice, and always ensure that you fully understand these risks before trading. Saxo Capital Markets does not provide ‘personal’ financial product advice, any information available on this website is ‘general’ in nature and for informational purposes only. Saxo Capital Markets does not take into account an individual’s needs, objectives or financial situation. The Target Market Determination should assist you in determining whether any of the products or services we offer are likely to be consistent with your objectives, financial situation and needs.

Apple, iPad and iPhone are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the US and other countries. AppStore is a service mark of Apple Inc.

The information or the products and services referred to on this website may be accessed worldwide, however is only intended for distribution to and use by recipients located in countries where such use does not constitute a violation of applicable legislation or regulations. Products and Services offered on this website is not intended for residents of the United States and Japan.

Please click here to view our full disclaimer.