Outrageous Predictions
Executive Summary: Outrageous Predictions 2026
Saxo Group
Read Saxo's Outrageous Predictions for 2026, our latest batch of low probability, but high impact ev...
Access both platforms from your single Saxo account.
Technical Update - US 10-year Treasury yields and Future. EuroBund future
Kim Cramer Larsson
Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank Group
3.50% is key level for US 10-year Treasury Yields. 114 /32 is the key level for the future.
EuroBund rejected at key resistance and could resume downtrend
US 10-years Treasury Yields are short-term in a downtrend having reached 0.382 retracement of the July to October uptrend and the 1.764 projection target of the last upwards move in what looks like double top pattern. RSI below 40 supporting this bearish picture.
3.50% is key support! However, US 10-year yields could test and bounce from 3.56 which is the low from October correction and 2.00 Projection target of the Double top like pattern.
Measured from the height of the double top pattern the yields have reached 1.618 projection at 3.63%.
If yields start to pick up and closes back above 4% the uptrend is likely to resume and previous highs are likely to be targeted.
Below the US 10-year Treasury Note future. 114 8/32 is key. A close above is likely to support further buying towards 117. Trend is currently up supported by RSI and could continue to test strong resistance at around 113 30/-114 7/32.
If the future slides back and closes below 11 27/32 it is back in bear mode.
If the future slides back and closes below 11 27/32 it is back in bear mode.
EuroBund future has followed the pattern outlined in previous Technical Update (the corrective arrows) but has been rejected at 142.62 resistance at first attempt. Whether it will have another go remains to be seen. If Bund future is breaking and closing above 142.62 a move to around 147.50 is in the cards.
If the future slides back below the neckline the Inverted (complex) Shoulder-Head-Shoulder like pattern is likely to be busted. That scenario will be confirmed if the future closes below 138.26, – that could lead to a test of October lows .
Latest Market Insights
Outrageous Predictions 2026
-
-
Outrageous Predictions
A Fortune 500 company names an AI model as CEO
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Can AI be trusted to take over in the boardroom? With the right algorithms and balanced human oversi... -
Outrageous Predictions
Dollar dominance challenged by Beijing’s golden yuan
Charu Chanana
Chief Investment Strategist
Beijing does an end-run around the US dollar, setting up a framework for settling trade in a neutral... -
Outrageous Predictions
Obesity drugs for everyone – even for pets
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
The availability of GLP-1 drugs in pill form makes them ubiquitous, shrinking waistlines, even for p... -
Outrageous Predictions
Dumb AI triggers trillion-dollar clean-up
Jacob Falkencrone
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Agentic AI systems are deployed across all sectors, and after a solid start, mistakes trigger a tril... -
Outrageous Predictions
Quantum leap Q-Day arrives early, crashing crypto and destabilizing world finance
Neil Wilson
Investor Content Strategist
A quantum computer cracks today’s digital security, bringing enough chaos with it that Bitcoin crash... -
Outrageous Predictions
Taylor Swift-Kelce wedding spikes global growth
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Next year’s most anticipated wedding inspires Gen Z to drop the doomscrolling and dial up the real w... -
Outrageous Predictions
SpaceX announces an IPO, supercharging extraterrestrial markets
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
Financial markets go into orbit, to the moon and beyond as SpaceX expands rocket launches by orders-... -
Outrageous Predictions
Britain’s Great EU Backdoor Return
Neil Wilson
Investor Content Strategist
Faced with rolling fiscal, economic, trade and political crises the UK government sneaks back into t... -
Outrageous Predictions
Despite concerns, U.S. 2026 mid-term elections proceed smoothly
John J. Hardy
Global Head of Macro Strategy
In spite of outstanding threats to the American democratic process, the US midterms come and go cord...