Quarterly Outlook
Macro Outlook: The US rate cut cycle has begun
Peter Garnry
Chief Investment Strategist
Head of Fixed Income Strategy
Micro Treasury Yield Futures Contracts offered by the CME Group are financial derivatives designed to track the yields of recently auctioned Treasury securities across various tenor points on the yield curve. These contracts enable market participants to speculate on or hedge against movements in interest rates.
Trading in Micro Treasury Yield Futures Contracts typically occurs on regulated exchanges, such as the CME Group, where buyers and sellers come together to exchange these futures contracts. They are traded electronically, providing ease of access and liquidity to market participants.
Like all derivative instruments, there are risks associated with trading Micro Treasury Yield Futures Contracts, including market risk, liquidity risk, and execution risk, which traders need to consider before engaging in trading activities.
In the Saxo platform it is possible to find Micro Treasury bond futures for the 2-, 10- and 30-year yields in the Screener, filtering for “Contract Futures” searching for the keyword “yield”.
Open Interest can be added to one of the columns to see which contract is the most liquid. In the example below, the Micro 10-Year Yield contract with expiry April 2024 is the most liquid.
Let's dive into the specifics of the Micro 10-year yield contract expiring in April.
The trading ticker indicates a contract size of 1000 and a tick size of 0.001.
To open a position, the initial margin requirement is 10%, with a maintenance margin of 9%.
For instance, purchasing one contract at 4.649% translates to a nominal value of 4,649 USD. To open this position, a minimum of 720 USD is required. Subsequently, the maintenance margin stands at 640 USD.
A yield increase from 4.649% to 4.65% yields a one-dollar gain, while a decrease to 4.648% results in a one-dollar loss.
If the 10-year yield rises from 4.649% to 5%, a profit of 351 USD is realized.
The Saxo platform offers continuous tickers that can elevate the trading experience for Micro Treasury Yield Futures contracts. Tickers like 2YYc1, 10Yc1, and 30Yc1 correspond to the 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year US Treasury yields, respectively, serving as valuable tools for charting purposes.
Our technical analysis specialist, Kim Cramer Larsson, frequently utilizes and discusses these tickers in their analysis. To access his analysis, click here.
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