Both the CNY and the Chinese CSI 300 index continue to trend lower with the firm USD weighing on emerging markets as a whole while China feels the particular burn of trade war fears and weak sentiment regarding its capacity for economic growth.
"Things are not good [in China] and the complacency in Europe and the US is mind-blowing," stated Saxo Bank Head of Equity Strategy Peter Garnry in a note released this morning.
"China remains the biggest risk to global markets," Garnry adds.
In stocks, AAPL became the world's first trillion-dollar firm by market capitalisation Thursday while Toyota's latest earnings showed the firm exceeding expectations on profits while fretting Chinese demand and the impact of tariffs.
"We continue to be underweight automotive, EM, China, semiconductors while staying overweight healthcare, software/internet, and staples," says Peter Garnry.
In forex, Saxo Bank Head of FX Strategy John Hardy reports that the market is broadly ignoring Thursday's hawkish hike from the Bank of England while shifting to the apparent view that the Bank of Japan statement earlier this week in fact represented a net tightening.
"This move is more visible in non-USDJPY pairs on the dollar's strength," says Hardy.
Finally, Hardy says that EURUSD may finally be gaining some downside momentum with a move out of a recent triangle formation (see chart below).
For more on forex and equities, watch today's Morning Call in full.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.