Podcast: It’s FOMC week, as market ponders taper talk and forecast shifts.
Saxo Market Call
Summary: 'Today we wrap up Friday's positive action in the equity market as we continue to note that US treasuries may be a barometer for excess liquidity, not the market's assessment of inflation risks or the growth outlook. In FX, it was curious to see a sharp USD move higher when nothing else was afoot, perhaps a nod of the head at whether the FOMC is set for a talking up an eventual taper move and the unavoidable forecasts adjustements at Wednesday's meeting. Elsewhere, energy is picking up more investor focus than metals and grains, a couple of big and interesting names are reporting earnings this week despite the thin calendar, and in EM, Turkey is a major focus this week. On today's pod were Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.