Mean reversion, check. Now what?
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today, we discussed yesterday's session completing at least a near term mean reversion in market internals after remarkable performance divergence between bubble stocks and the wider market. Elsewhere, we look at US yields peeling away from new highs after Fed Chair Powell's nomination hearing and as we await a possible 7-handle on the US headline December CPI later today for the first time since 1982, discuss credit spreads in high yield corporates and whether there are any signs of distress yet, new post-omicron highs in crude oil, inflation pressures from food and wages and more. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Latest Market Insights
Quarterly Outlook Q3 2022: The Runaway Train
- Winter is coming to the financial markets as central banks are tightening their grip. How spring will look is still a question.
European energy crisis: it will get worse before it gets betterThe winter in Europe will be tough, but whether the result is political chaos or sustainable, innovative solutions is still undecided.
A difficult and volatile quarter awaitsAs the year draws to an end, commodities continue to be at centre stage of the world with growth pockets political uncertainty.
The bright side: crises drive innovationThe positive spin on crises is that they come with solutions. It is worrisome that deglobalisation may be a response to this crisis.
Green transformation in China: renewable energy and beyondGoing green, China needs to span numerous energy sources to ensure stability, as every source comes with a challenge.
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Autumn can become ugly for equities and bond holders. Comfort for Dollar longsTechnical analysis suggests that equities could face a tough Q4 as could fixed income. US Dollar positions could provide some upside.
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