Podcast: Sentiment bounces, but Amazon...
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today we look at whiplash for US equity traders as sentiment rallied strongly yesterday from depressed levels, only to have a ton of bricks dropped on the market by a very weak Amazon report, all while hopes for Chinese stimulus in the background drove strong sentiment in Asia. We also discuss Apple's supply chain concerns, the outlook for energy given the ongoing lack of investment, fresh spikes in fuel prices, financial conditions, a big week ahead for macro as the FOMC announcement is up next Wednesday, with today's US PCE inflation data for March one of the last big macro data points ahead of that meeting. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
- While global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.