Podcast: US yield rise hogging the market bandwidth. But junk is staggeringly resilient.
Saxo Market Call
Summary: Today, a bit more today on the Archegos kerfuffle, but more attention on the fresh rise in US treasury yields, which poked to new highs for the cycle in the belly of the US yield curve as US treasuries head for their worst quarterly performance in over 40 years. Even so, Junk bonds remain incredibly resilient amid a torrent of issuance. Elsewhere, the higher US yields - and importantly, the higher US real yields, are taking the USD higher, with USDJPY taking out the big 110.00 level as the quarter and Japanese financial year close tomorrow. The French OAT auction on Thursday is the one to watch in Europe. Today's call with Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
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Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.