NY Open: Brexit, FOMC and Apple earnings handcuff traders
FX Trader, Loonieviews.net
Summary: UK politics have sucked the trading energy out of FX markets.The US dollar is a touch firmer against the G-10 majors except for CAD, EUR and GBP, which are close to unchanged since the New York open.
USDCAD is getting a modicum of support from higher oil prices while trade talk worries undermine the antipodean currencies as well as the Swiss franc.
Prime Minister Theresa May conceded that her first Brexit plan, which was soundly defeated in the House of Commons, was a non-starter. Before that vote, she warned that the only alternatives to her deal was no deal or staying in the EU. Today she announced another alternative. It is reopening the withdrawal agreement with the EU (something which the EU has already ruled out). Also, today MPs are voting on both the Brady and the Cooper amendments, according to the Guardian. Then there will be another vote in a couple of weeks.
Wall Street opened flat to modestly higher in a cautious start to the session. Traders are waiting to see how the US Justice Department's actions against Huawei Technologies affects the US/China trade negotiations that start today. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin says Huawei and the Trade talks are two separate issues. Media reports from China beg to differ.
Apple (APPL: Nasdaq) fiscal Q1 earnings report is released after the close of business today. Traders are wondering if the downgraded revenue projections announced a month ago is all the bad news or whether the outlook has taken a turn for the worse. The stock is marginally higher in early trading.
UBS and Elon Musk have one thing in common; both want to sell Tesla. Musk wants to sell Tesla cars while UBS recommends selling Tesla share. UBS analyst Colin Langan cut his price target by $10.00/share to $220.00, yesterday. Wall Street traders ignored the news, preferring to wait for (TSLA: Nasdaq) Q4 results due tomorrow.
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022
Quarterly Outlook Q2 2022: The End Game has arrived
- Shocks from covid and the war in Ukraine have forced the global financial and political world to change, but what will the end game be?
Productivity and innovation have never been more importantAs the world economy hits physical limits and central banks tighten their belts, could equities be facing a 10-15% downside?
The great EUR recovery and the difficulty of trading itIf the terrible fog of war hopefully lifts soon, the conditions are promising for the euro to reprice significantly higher.
Tight commodity markets – turbocharged by war and sanctionsWith supply already tight, commodities keep powering on. But will it last for yet another quarter?
Between a rock and a hard placeGeopolitical concerns will add upward price pressures and fears of slower growth, while volatility will remain elevated.
The Great ErosionInflation is everywhere and central banks try to combat it. But will they get it under control in time?
Australian investing: Six considerations amid triple Rs: rising rates, record inflation and likely recessionWhile global financial markets are struggling in an uncertain world, the commodity-heavy Australian ASX index is poised to keep a positive momentum.
Cybersecurity – the rush to catch up with realityWith the invasion of Ukraine, governments and private companies are rushing to reinforce their cyber defenses.