Teknisk analyse - Vestas Wind højere men svært ved at bekræfte uptrend. Ørsted i stramt prisleje, brud nødvendig for trendretning

Teknisk analyse - Vestas Wind højere men svært ved at bekræfte uptrend. Ørsted i stramt prisleje, brud nødvendig for trendretning

2 minutes to read
KCL
Kim Cramer Larsson

Technical Analyst, Saxo Bank

Summary:  Vestas Wind er åbnet højere men kæmper for at holde sig oppe. Vestas har lang vej at bevæge sig før aktien kan annullere top- og vendemønstre på både kort og mellemlang sigt. Nedadgående trend kan blive genoptaget, da indikatorerne ikke giver klare signaler. RSI indikerer mulige højere prisniveauer

Ørsted i et stramt kursprisområde, som skal brydes for trendretning


Vestas Wind er åbnet handelsdagen højere efter bedre end forventet indtjening. Det tekniske billede er dog stadig ret negativt, og indikatorerne er inkonklusiv.

På den daglige graf dannede Vestas en Bearish Engulfing candle som er et top og vende mønster, på den første handelsdag i 2024 og tog dermed de sidste to dages fremgang i 2023 tilbage. Efterfølgende blev det gap lukket som blev skabt et par dage før. Et stærkt signal om svaghed.

For at Vestas kan annullere det top- og vendingsbillede er det nødvendigt med en daglig lukkekurs over 219,15.

På den ugentlige graf blev der dannet en endnu mere tydeligt Bearish Engulfing candle (end på det daglige). Vestas formåede heller ikke at lukke over modstanden omkring 217.45, hvilket er et yderligere svaghedstegn.

RSI er dog både på dagligt og ugentligt i positiv sentiment, og hvis den daglige RSI kan lukke tilbage over 60, ville det være en indikation af, at købere kunne have styrken til at teste januar-toppen omkring 219,15

Hvis Vestas lukker dagens åbningsgab, vil støtten på omkring 186,50 sandsynligvis komme under pres. En daglig luk under og Vestas vil genoptage nedadgående trend

Kilde alle charts og data: Saxo Group

Ørsted handler i et stramt interval mellem 401 og 369, men med en stærk støtte omkring 352. En handelslukkepris over eller under er afgørende for trendretningen.

En lukning over 401 kunne meget vel give energi til en bevægelse mod 500 med modstand omkring 447,40. Hvis RSI også lukker tilbage over 60, vil det bekræfte et positivt break-out.

En daglig lukkekurs under 352 vil bekræfte, at nedadgående trend er genoptaget med potentiale til at presse Ørsted ned til omkring 300.

Hvis Ørsted lukker under 352, lukker RSI højst sandsynligt tilbage under 40, dvs. i negativ sentiment, hvilket yderligere vil bekræfte en negative trend.

Ørsted er på mellemlang sigt stadig i en negative trend på trods af at aktien har gjort et stærkt comeback fra støtten omkring 276.

En ugentlig lukning over 419,90 vil sandsynligvis etablere en positiv trend på den mellemlange tidsperiode

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