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OILUKJUL21 – Brent Crude Oil (July)
OILUSJUN21 – WTI Crude Oil (June)
GASOLINEJUN21 - RBOB Gasoline (June)
Commodities of most colors continue higher on a combination of expectations for a post-pandemic growth sprint triggering supply bottlenecks, green transformation focus, weather worries and increased investment demand from speculators and investors enjoying the current momentum while seeking a hedge against the risk of accelerating inflation. As a result the broad Bloomberg Commodity Spot index trades up 19% year-to-date with the year-on-year increase exceeding 60%.
The year-on-year rate of change has reached levels not seen for at least a decade, and with rising input cost forcing more and more companies to pass on the cost to consumers, we are increasingly seeing the risk of the current inflation spike not being the transitory phenomenon being touted by major central banks. Once inflationary pressures take hold it becomes very difficult to reverse and the risk being a self-feeding loop that may end up driving commodity prices even higher over the coming months and quarters, hence the increased focus on a new super-cycle.